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Prediction published on Feb 1, 2025 2:44 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 1, 2025 3:36 PM
The 22nd round of La Liga concludes with the evening match between Girona and Las Palmas. The home side, Girona, has officially bid farewell to the Champions League, a competition they qualified for thanks to their incredible third-place finish in La Liga last season. Now, they can fully focus on the league. Míchel's team is well aware that repeating the success of the 2023-24 season is nearly impossible, but they can still hope for a spot in the Europa League, as they currently sit eighth, six points behind fifth place. The good news for Míchel and his squad is that they no longer have to manage a double weekly fixture schedule. Additionally, the coach places high expectations on Arthur, who arrived on loan from Juventus to strengthen the Catalan side in the second half of the season. Las Palmas, on the other hand, desperately needs points to increase their narrow three-point lead over the relegation zone and push toward mid-table. However, to achieve this, Martínez Penas' team must drastically improve their form, as they have failed to win a single official match in January and have collected just one point from their last three La Liga games.
Girona is experiencing a rough patch, having suffered four consecutive defeats across the Champions League and La Liga. Looking solely at their domestic league form, they have won two and lost three of their last five games, yet they have managed to score in all of them.
The Catalans have scored 29 goals in La Liga, averaging 1.38 per game, but they are struggling due to the absence of a true striker. Their top scorer, Stuani, has only found the net four times. At home, Girona averages 1.9 goals per match, with a record of five wins, four losses, and one draw.
Las Palmas ended a streak of three consecutive defeats (against Real Madrid, Getafe, and Elche in the Copa del Rey) with a 1-1 draw against Osasuna. Their last away win dates back to November, when they surprisingly beat Barcelona 2-1 at Camp Nou.
Martínez Penas' side has played 10 away games in La Liga, scoring 12 goals (1.2 per match) and conceding 19. Their away record stands at three wins, one draw, and six losses. One of the biggest concerns for the coach is their defensive struggles, as Las Palmas has conceded 34 goals in 21 matches, making them the third-worst defense in the league.
Girona will be determined to secure all three points and close in on the European qualification spots. They have a strong home advantage, having won three of their last five matches at Estadi Montilivi.
Las Palmas, however, has evident defensive issues, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per away game, and has not won away from home since November. Due to these factors, the BetMines algorithm's prediction for Girona - Las Palmas leans towards a home win (1).
Girona (4-2-3-1): Gazzaniga; Arnau Martinez, Juanpe, David Lopez, Blind; Herrera, Ivan Martin; Asprilla, Van de Beek, Gil; Danjuma. Coach: Míchel.
Las Palmas (4-2-3-1): Cillessen; Muñoz, Alex Suarez, McKenna, Mika Mármol; Loiodice, Kirian Rodriguez; Sandro, Manu Fuster, Alberto Moleiro; Fabio Silva. Coach: Martínez Penas.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Girona
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1