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Prediction published on Oct 2, 2026 7:10 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 2, 2026 7:10 PM
Girona host Mallorca on October 4 in a La Liga 2 meeting between two clubs that were relegated last season and have started their push to return to the top division. The teams are level on points after seven matches: Girona sit fifth, with Mallorca sixth. Both have recorded four wins, one draw and two defeats, but their results have taken different shapes. Girona have scored 14 league goals and have found the net in every game, while Mallorca have built their start on a record of just three goals conceded. That contrast makes their meeting at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi an intriguing test of Girona’s attacking form and Mallorca’s defensive consistency.
Girona have won four of their last five La Liga 2 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game across that run. Their seven-match season record stands at four wins, one draw and two losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per fixture. Under Quique Álvarez, the home side recovered from an opening draw against Leganés and a defeat to Córdoba by beating Las Palmas 5-2. They then won 2-0 away to Gijón before a 1-2 loss to Castellón interrupted their progress.
The response to that setback has been immediate. Girona beat Cádiz 2-1 and followed up with a 2-0 win over Albacete on September 25. Their attacking numbers remain a defining feature of this Girona vs Mallorca preview: nine of their 14 league goals have come at home. There is also a notable first-half pattern, as Girona have led at half-time in each of their last five La Liga 2 matches, including their last three home games in the competition.
Yaser Asprilla has scored four times this season but will not be available after being called up by his national team. Carles Pérez has contributed two goals and an assist in four appearances since arriving late in the transfer window. Abel Ruiz has scored twice, while Fran Beltrán has one goal and one assist. Girona’s recent scoring rate gives them options, although Asprilla’s absence removes their leading scorer from this fixture.
Mallorca arrive with the same four-win, one-draw, two-loss league record as Girona. Their approach has produced fewer goals—eight in seven games—but only three conceded. Across their last five matches, Mallorca have taken three wins and a draw alongside one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded per game. Those figures underline how difficult they have been to break down, even as Girona’s home scoring record presents a demanding challenge.
Luis García’s side opened with a 2-0 victory over Valladolid, then lost 2-0 away to Granada. They responded by beating Ceuta 3-0, drawing 0-0 with Eldense and winning 2-0 against Sabadell. A 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad B extended that positive sequence, but their most recent match ended in a 0-1 home defeat to Almería on September 27. Mallorca have conceded two of their three league goals away from home.
Adrián Fuentes leads Mallorca’s scoring with four goals in seven league games, including three in his last three appearances. Álex Sala has supplied one goal and two assists, while Pablo Torre has scored once. Fuentes’ recent contributions give the visitors a clear attacking reference, but the team’s broader season record points to defensive security as its strongest asset so far.
The central question is whether Girona can maintain their scoring rhythm against a Mallorca side conceding an average of just 0.4 goals per league match. Girona’s recent games have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on their side of the ledger, whereas Mallorca’s last five have featured only 0.2 goals conceded per game. The hosts have the stronger attacking record, but the visitors have repeatedly kept opponents out.
Recent history offers no decisive advantage to Girona. The last listed meeting finished 0-1, and Girona’s head-to-head record against Mallorca is two wins and three defeats, with no draws, across the five matches in the supplied summary. Their current league records are identical, so the contrast in how they score and concede is more informative than their positions of fifth and sixth alone.
One of the clearest trends concerns the opening 45 minutes. Girona have been ahead at the break in five straight La Liga 2 fixtures and in each of their last three at home. Mallorca’s defensive figures make another early lead far from certain, but Girona’s repeated first-half advantage shows how consistently they have made an early impact. It is a particularly relevant factor for a match between two sides separated by league position rather than points.
Girona vs Mallorca prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 75% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Girona
Mallorca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1