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Prediction published on May 3, 2025 9:23 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 7, 2025 10:55 AM
At the Estadi Montilivi on Monday, May 5th, Girona and Mallorca face off in a crucial clash to close out Matchday 34 of La Liga. The home side, just twelve months after their remarkable third-place finish last season, are now in a desperate battle for survival, sitting 17th in the table with only a three-point cushion over 18th-placed Las Palmas. Michel's men were inches away from securing a long-awaited victory last weekend, but after taking the lead and gaining a man advantage, they were held to a 1-1 draw away at Leganes, conceding the equalizer in stoppage time. Despite the disappointment, the draw at least ended a run of four straight defeats. Things haven’t gone much better for Mallorca lately. However, thanks to their UEFA ranking, the team can still dream of a spot in Europe next season. Currently 10th, they sit just two points behind 7th place. With many teams clustered together in the standings, Javier Aguirre's side cannot afford to slip up — especially in this tricky away trip to Catalonia.
Girona are enduring a torrid run, having picked up just 4 points from their last 11 La Liga matches. Their recent record includes 7 defeats and 4 draws, including last weekend’s 1-1 result at Leganes. Their last win came on February 3rd — a 2-1 home victory over Las Palmas — and since then they’ve slid down to 17th, dangerously close to the relegation zone.
Defensive struggles have been a major issue, with Girona owning the third-worst defense in the league (1.58 goals conceded per game). While they have claimed 21 of their 35 total points at home, they haven’t won in any of their last five home fixtures. In that stretch, they’ve lost to Getafe, Alaves, and Real Betis, and drawn with Celta Vigo and Valencia.
Mallorca failed to build on their 2-0 win over Real Sociedad and 0-0 draw against Leganes, falling 1-0 to Barcelona last time out. In their last five matches, the Bermellones have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. They’ve averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over that span, but remain firmly in the mix for a top-seven finish with 44 points.
Offensive productivity is Mallorca’s main concern — they have the lowest scoring rate among teams chasing European spots, averaging less than a goal per game. On the road, their last five results include 1-0 losses to Valencia and Barcelona, 1-1 draws against Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, and a 2-0 win over Real Sociedad.
In their last five head-to-head clashes in La Liga, Girona and Mallorca are dead even with two wins apiece and one draw. These games typically featured goals, though only one of them saw more than three total goals. The reverse fixture ended 2-1 in favor of Mallorca, with a brace from Larin and a goal from Van de Beek.
This Matchday 34 clash promises goals, as Girona have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 17 matches and have scored in eight of their last nine. However, due to the high stakes, Girona may adopt a more cautious approach, looking to avoid early exposure against a disciplined Mallorca side.
Despite their attacking struggles, Mallorca could still find the net against a shaky Girona defense — especially considering the hosts' tendency to concede. That said, Mallorca are without top scorer Vedat Muriqi, which could hamper their chances.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Girona vs Mallorca suggests a match with fewer than 3.5 total goals.
GIRONA (3-4-3): Gazzaniga; D. Lopez, Krejci, Blind; A. Martinez, Arthur, Herrera, Gutierrez; Tsygankov, Stuani, Portu. Coach: Michel
MALLORCA (5-4-1): Roman; Maffeo, Valjent, Raillo, Copete, Mojica; D Rodriguez, Mascarell, S Costa, Darder; Larin. Coach: Arrasate
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Girona
Mallorca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0