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Prediction published on Oct 24, 2025 7:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 24, 2025 7:31 PM
On October 26, the gates of De Adelaarshorst will open once again as Go Ahead Eagles host Excelsior in the tenth round of the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie. This mid-table clash between the 12th and 13th-placed teams promises to be an intriguing battle, with both sides eager to gain momentum after inconsistent starts to the season. The home side will look to capitalize on their attacking form in front of their supporters, while Excelsior aim to stabilize a defense that has struggled in recent weeks.
Go Ahead Eagles have shown flashes of quality but remain inconsistent in the Eredivisie. Their recent record of two wins, one draw, and two defeats reflects a team still searching for balance. The Eagles’ attacking output has been encouraging, averaging 1.7 goals per match this season, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Their latest triumph, a 2-1 win over Aston Villa on October 23, showcased their ability to compete against strong opposition, especially when playing with confidence and intensity.
At home, De Adelaarshorst has witnessed some entertaining football. The Eagles have scored in each of their last ten Eredivisie matches, and Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in all of them. However, they have also trailed at half-time in their last three league outings, suggesting a tendency to start slowly before finding rhythm in the second half. Their recent 3-0 home win over FC Volendam and 2-0 victory against PEC Zwolle underline their attacking strength when given space to play.
Historically, Go Ahead Eagles have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings against Excelsior, including a comprehensive 3-0 victory in March 2024. With the home crowd behind them and a strong offensive record, the Eagles will aim to exploit Excelsior’s defensive frailties and push further up the table.
Excelsior enter this match in a fragile state, having alternated between solid performances and heavy defeats. Their season record of 3 wins and 6 losses highlights a lack of consistency, while their goal statistics — 0.9 scored and 1.9 conceded per match — reveal a team struggling to find balance between attack and defense. Their most recent outing, a narrow 1-0 win over Fortuna Sittard on October 19, provided a much-needed boost after a series of disappointing results.
Defensively, Excelsior have been vulnerable, conceding in each of their last 16 away matches. Moreover, their last 11 away fixtures have all produced Over 2.5 goals, emphasizing their open style of play and defensive instability. The team’s inability to secure draws — they have gone 19 matches without one — further illustrates their all-or-nothing approach. While their attacking play can be effective in bursts, particularly through creative midfielders like Gyan de Regt, their backline often struggles to cope with sustained pressure.
Despite these issues, Excelsior have shown resilience in certain matches, securing notable wins against FC Twente (1-0) and FC Volendam (2-1). However, heavy defeats such as the 5-0 loss to NEC Nijmegen and 4-1 against Utrecht have exposed their defensive shortcomings. To earn a result in Deventer, Excelsior will need to remain compact and capitalize on counterattacking opportunities, especially in the early stages when Go Ahead Eagles tend to dominate possession.
This encounter is expected to be an open and attacking affair, with both teams showing a clear tendency toward high-scoring matches. Go Ahead Eagles’ attacking momentum and Excelsior’s defensive fragility suggest that goals are likely at both ends. The home side’s confidence, boosted by their recent European success and strong home form, makes them slight favorites to claim all three points.
Go Ahead Eagles will likely adopt an aggressive approach, pressing high and seeking to control the midfield through quick transitions. Excelsior, on the other hand, will aim to absorb pressure and strike on the break, relying on the creativity of their midfielders and the finishing of their forwards. However, given their defensive record away from home, maintaining a clean sheet appears unlikely.
Historically, this fixture has favored the hosts, and current form trends point in the same direction. With both sides averaging over one goal per game and conceding heavily, spectators can expect an entertaining match filled with attacking intent and defensive uncertainty.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Go Ahead Eagles win (1) with a 48% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 23%, while an Excelsior win (2) stands at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
4
6
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2