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Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 4:38 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 4:38 PM
Granada welcome Albacete to Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes on September 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. This La Liga 2 fixture brings together teams experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Granada are sixth after collecting two wins, one draw and one defeat, while Albacete sit 21st following four consecutive league losses. Both sides enter the contest after being beaten on September 6: Granada suffered a 3-0 defeat against SD Eibar, whereas Albacete lost 2-0 to Castellón. The hosts will look to respond immediately to their first league setback of the season, while the visitors are still searching for their opening points. With Granada carrying the stronger overall numbers and Albacete struggling at both ends of the pitch, this match offers the home side an opportunity to return to winning ways.
Granada had made a positive start before their difficult trip to SD Eibar. The 3-0 loss on September 6 was their first league defeat of the campaign, leaving their La Liga 2 record at two wins, one draw and one loss. Their season averages stand at 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, showing a generally balanced opening despite the latest result.
The wider five-match sequence remains encouraging for the home team. Granada have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat across that period, averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. That run provides important context for the defeat at Eibar: it was a setback, but not part of an extended sequence of poor results. Their recent average of fewer than one goal conceded per game also highlights a level of defensive stability that could become especially relevant against an Albacete side producing just 0.5 goals per league match this season.
Granada's home data suggests that completely goalless fixtures have not been the norm. Under 0.5 total goals occurred in four of their last 18 home matches in La Liga 2, while the same outcome was recorded in four of their last 19 home games overall. In other words, most of those fixtures produced at least one goal. The key challenge here will be turning territorial and statistical superiority into a controlled response after conceding three times in their previous outing.
Albacete arrive under significantly greater pressure. Their 2-0 defeat to Castellón on September 6 extended their losing start to four league matches. The visitors have therefore recorded zero wins, zero draws and four defeats in La Liga 2, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per fixture. Those figures illustrate problems in both penalty areas: their attacking output has been limited, while their opponents have consistently found routes to goal.
The last-five-match record offers little relief. Albacete have managed no victories, one draw and four defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.6 per game. Compared with Granada's figures over the same span, the visitors score one goal fewer per match on average and concede twice as many. That gap explains why Albacete face a demanding task at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes.
The immediate priority for the away side is to improve their attacking efficiency. With only 0.5 goals per league game, Albacete cannot afford to give Granada an early advantage and then depend on a high-scoring recovery. At the same time, their average of 1.8 goals conceded this season means that focusing exclusively on attack would carry its own risk. Finding a better balance is essential if they are to end their sequence of defeats and collect their first league points.
The comparison between the teams gives Granada the statistical edge. The hosts have won three of their last five matches, whereas Albacete have failed to win during the same sample. Granada's five-match goal averages of 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded are also markedly stronger than Albacete's corresponding figures of 0.6 and 1.6. Season performance points in the same direction, with Granada taking seven points from four league games and Albacete losing all four of theirs.
The available probabilities still indicate that the contest is not entirely one-sided. Granada have a 45% win probability, compared with 27% for the draw and 28% for an Albacete victory. The home team are therefore the most likely individual winner, but the combined probability assigned to outcomes in which they do not win remains substantial. Granada's response to the 3-0 loss at Eibar will consequently be an important part of the match.
Goal projections point toward a relatively measured contest. Under 2.5 goals carries a 57% probability, while Over 2.5 is rated at 43%. The Both Teams To Score market is similarly close, with No at 51% and Yes at 49%. These percentages fit Albacete's low scoring average, although Granada's recent attacking return and Albacete's rate of goals conceded leave room for the hosts to create decisive opportunities.
The head-to-head record is balanced across the supplied five-match summary: from Granada's perspective, it contains two wins, one draw and two losses, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The latest meeting ended 4-1 on April 19, 2026, showing that this fixture has also been capable of producing a much more open scoreline. Nevertheless, the current-season figures suggest that Albacete's limited attacking output may make another high-scoring exchange less likely.
Granada's clearest route is to restore the stability shown before their defeat at Eibar and apply pressure to an opponent that has conceded in every league loss so far. Albacete, meanwhile, need a major improvement from the 2-0 defeat against Castellón, particularly in front of goal. Taken together, the form records, scoring averages and early-season results make the hosts the more convincing side, even though their latest performance serves as a warning against complacency.
Granada vs Albacete prediction from BetMines: Granada win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Granada
Albacete
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0