The Andalusian derby between Granada and Almería promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of this LaLiga Hypermotion round. With only two matches left in the season, both teams arrive with very different objectives but equally strong motivations. Granada are looking to secure their survival after a difficult campaign, while Almería are fighting to regain second place and keep their hopes of direct promotion alive. The clash at Nuevo Los Cármenes will therefore be decisive for both sides, with pride and crucial points at stake.

Granada’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Granada come into this match after a heavy 4-1 defeat against Albacete on April 19, a result that exposed some defensive weaknesses. Despite that setback, the team has shown improvement in recent weeks, collecting two wins in their last five matches. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game in that period reflects a side that can attack effectively but still struggles to maintain defensive solidity.

Throughout the season, Granada’s record in LaLiga 2 stands at 11 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers underline a balanced but inconsistent campaign. However, their home performances have been a key factor in their survival push. The team has not lost at half time in their last 16 home matches, showing resilience and concentration in the early stages of games. In fact, they have led at half time in six of their last ten home fixtures, a sign that they often start strongly in front of their fans.

Another notable trend is the relatively low-scoring nature of some of their home games. Under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in four of their last 14 home matches, suggesting that Granada can sometimes struggle to open up tight defenses. Still, their recent form has lifted them to 14th place in the standings, ten points clear of the relegation zone, and a win here would almost certainly secure their place in the division for next season.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería arrive in Granada after a thrilling 3-2 victory over Málaga on April 19, a result that helped them recover from a painful 5-1 defeat against Racing de Santander the previous week. That win demonstrated their attacking power and determination to stay in the promotion race. Over their last five matches, Almería have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game — figures that highlight both their offensive strength and defensive vulnerability.

In the overall season statistics, Almería have achieved 19 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. They currently sit third in the table, level on points with Deportivo La Coruña but behind on goal difference. Their attacking consistency is remarkable: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 13 league matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in all of their last 11 fixtures. However, their defense remains a concern, having conceded at least once in 20 of their last 21 matches.

Almería’s first halves are usually solid — they have avoided defeat at half time in 28 of their last 31 matches, showing good control early in games. If they can maintain that composure and improve their defensive concentration, they will have a strong chance of taking all three points in this derby.

Granada vs Almería Tactical Overview and Prediction

This Andalusian derby brings together two teams with contrasting goals but similar fighting spirit. Granada will rely on their home advantage and early-game strength to contain Almería’s attacking threats. Their main challenge will be to keep a clean sheet against one of the most prolific offenses in the league. On the other hand, Almería will look to impose their attacking rhythm from the start, knowing that a victory could restore their position in the top two and bring them closer to promotion.

Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides has been balanced, with Granada winning once, drawing twice, and losing twice in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 3-2, confirming the potential for goals when these two meet. With both teams averaging around two goals per game in those clashes, another open and entertaining contest could be on the cards.

Given the current form and statistical trends, this match could see both teams finding the net, but Almería’s superior attacking numbers and motivation to climb back into the top two might give them a slight edge. Granada’s defensive lapses could prove costly if Almería maintain their recent scoring momentum.

Granada vs Almería prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 43% probability.