Tools
Granada
0 - 1
FT
Burgos
Prediction published on May 14, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 14, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Granada and Burgos CF in LaLiga Hypermotion promises to be a balanced and intriguing encounter. With the season reaching its final stretch, both sides arrive with contrasting motivations: Granada have already secured their safety, while Burgos still dream of reaching the promotion playoffs. This match, part of the fortieth round, could have a decisive impact on the visitors’ ambitions and will test the home side’s consistency after a challenging campaign.
After a narrow 1-0 defeat in the Andalusian derby against Córdoba, Granada approach this fixture looking to end the season on a positive note. That loss marked their third in the last five league games, a run that has slightly tarnished the improvement they had shown in the middle part of the campaign. Earlier in the season, Granada struggled significantly, even flirting with the relegation zone, but a solid recovery phase allowed them to climb to mid-table safety.
Currently ranked 14th in La Liga 2, Granada’s record stands at 12 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match reflects a balanced but inconsistent side. In their last five outings, they have collected two wins and three losses, scoring an average of one goal per game while conceding nearly two. At home, they have shown mixed results, with Under 0.5 goals occurring in four of their last fifteen home matches, suggesting that low-scoring games are not uncommon at the Nuevo Los Cármenes.
Despite their mid-table position, Granada’s supporters will expect a strong performance to close the season. The team’s defensive structure has been tested repeatedly, and maintaining focus will be key to avoiding another disappointing result. With no pressure from the standings, they can play with freedom, which might help them rediscover their attacking rhythm.
Burgos CF travel to Granada after a goalless draw against Almería, a result that extended their winless streak to four matches. Despite this dip in form, the visitors remain in contention for a playoff spot, sitting 8th in the table and just two points away from the top six. Their season record of 17 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats highlights a consistent campaign built on defensive solidity and tactical discipline.
In their last five matches, Burgos have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their recent fixtures have been particularly tight, with Under 0.5 goals in their last two league matches. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score in the second half in 32 of their last 34 matches, underlining their tendency toward cautious, low-scoring encounters.
On the road, Burgos have also shown a defensive mindset, with Under 0.5 goals in four of their last twelve away games. Their ability to control the tempo and frustrate opponents has been a hallmark of their season. However, to keep their playoff hopes alive, they will need to find more cutting edge in attack, as their recent lack of goals could prove costly at this decisive stage.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar recent patterns. Granada will aim to use their home advantage to bounce back from defeat and offer their fans a positive farewell performance. Their mid-table status allows them to play without pressure, which could lead to a more open approach than usual. However, their recent scoring average suggests that breaking down Burgos’ compact defense might not be easy.
Burgos CF, on the other hand, approach the match with everything to play for. Their defensive organization has been one of the strongest aspects of their season, but the lack of goals in recent weeks is a concern. The visitors’ focus will likely be on maintaining balance and exploiting any lapses from Granada, especially in transitions. Given both teams’ recent trends, a tight and low-scoring game seems the most probable scenario.
Considering the data and recent performances, this encounter is expected to be balanced and cautious. Granada have already achieved their main goal of survival, while Burgos CF are still fighting for a playoff position. Both sides have shown limited attacking output in recent weeks, and their defensive records suggest another low-scoring affair could be on the cards. The most likely outcome appears to be a draw, with few goals separating the two teams.
Granada vs Burgos CF prediction by BetMines:
Draw (X) with a probability of 28%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Granada
Burgos
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
6
4
9
1