At the Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, on Monday, May 12, Granada and Eibar face off in the final match of Matchday 39 in La Liga 2. With just four rounds remaining, Granada is still chasing a playoff spot that will decide the third team to earn promotion to La Liga. The Andalusians currently sit seventh with 59 points, just a few points behind Almeria. A win against Eibar could help them catch up or at least stay in contention to return to La Liga just one year after relegation. After this match, Escribà's men will face Deportivo La Coruna, Castellon, and Racing Santander—the latter still fighting for automatic promotion. To claim all three points against the Basques, Granada must bounce back from their recent loss to Malaga, relying on their home advantage, where they haven't lost in six months. Eibar, also coming off a 1-0 defeat to Mirandes, currently has a nine-point cushion above the relegation zone. A win would be a huge step toward securing safety, especially if Eldense slips up. However, getting three points in Andalusia won’t be easy for San José’s side, who haven’t won a league game in over a month and a half.

Granada Recent Form and Key Stats

Granada’s 1-0 defeat to Malaga snapped a four-game unbeaten run that included three wins—3-1 vs Almeria, 0-2 vs Albacete, and 2-3 at Cartagena—and a 1-1 draw with Elche. In these five matches, Escribà’s men averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

The Rojiblancos have 59 points, just three shy of the playoff zone, with 34 points earned at home. This season at Nuevo Los Cármenes, they have registered nine wins, seven draws, and three defeats, averaging 1.79 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per match. They are currently unbeaten in 13 home games, with seven wins and six draws.

Eibar Recent Form and Key Stats

Eibar’s form has dipped recently. Their latest 1-0 home defeat to Mirandes, current league leaders, extended their winless streak. Before that, they drew five consecutive games—against Cadiz, Real Oviedo, Zaragoza, Malaga, and Tenerife. Their last win came on March 23, a 2-1 victory over Huesca.

Despite the poor run, the Armeros are still nine points clear of the relegation zone with four games to go. Away from home, San José’s men are unbeaten in five matches, with one win and four draws. Their away games average 0.79 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded.

Granada vs Eibar Prediction and Tactical Overview

Granada is desperate for points to stay in the playoff race, and they will be banking on their strong home form, having not lost at Nuevo Los Cármenes since October 27. The last five head-to-head encounters show a balanced record: two wins for Eibar, one for Granada, and two draws, including the 1-1 result in the reverse fixture, with goals from Puertas and Insua.

Eibar, given their safe distance from the drop zone, may opt for a more cautious approach, looking to counterattack when possible. Notably, San José’s men have gone six games without a win and have conceded at least one goal in each of their last five.

Based on current form, especially Granada’s home performance, the Granada vs Eibar prediction from the BetMines algorithm strongly leans toward a home win.

• Granada vs Eibar prediction from the BetMines algorithm: 46% chance of Home Win (1)

• Granada vs Eibar prediction from the BetMines algorithm: 28% chance of Draw (X)

• Granada vs Eibar prediction from the BetMines algorithm: 26% chance of Away Win (2)

Granada vs Eibar Predicted Lineups

GRANADA (4-3-3): Marino; Sanchez, Lama, Williams, Brau; Hongla, Ruiz, Villar; Stoichkov, Boyé, Rebbach.
Coach: Escribà

EIBAR (4-2-3-1): Magunagoitia; Cubero, Comas, Arbilla, Gutierrez; Nolaskoain, Alvarez; Corpas, Pereira, Guruzeta; Pascual. Coach: San José