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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2025 7:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 8, 2025 9:01 PM
The ninth round of LaLiga 2 opens with an intriguing clash between Granada and Las Palmas. Both sides arrive in good form but with contrasting trajectories. Granada have finally found their rhythm after a difficult start, while Las Palmas continue to impress with their consistency and defensive solidity. The match promises to be a tight contest, with both teams aiming to consolidate their positions in the table.
After a frustrating opening to the season, Granada have managed to turn things around. The Andalusian side failed to win any of their first six league matches, which left them stuck in the relegation zone. However, two consecutive victories have completely changed their outlook. They first defeated Huesca away from home by 0-1, and then followed up with an emphatic 5-2 win over Real Sociedad B at Los Cármenes. These results lifted them to 18th place in the standings and restored confidence within the squad.
Despite this resurgence, Granada face some challenges ahead of this fixture. The international break has deprived them of three key starters, including their first-choice goalkeeper Luca Zidane and both of his backups, leaving the team with a serious issue between the posts. Statistically, Granada have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game this season while conceding 1.9. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their attacking improvement has been evident, but defensive lapses remain a concern.
At home, Granada have been relatively entertaining to watch. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 24 league fixtures, and only three of their last 15 home games have ended with fewer than 0.5 goals. This suggests that fans at Los Cármenes can expect action at both ends of the pitch. However, the absence of their regular goalkeepers could make them vulnerable against a disciplined opponent like Las Palmas.
Las Palmas enter this encounter in a strong position, sitting fifth in the table with almost double the points of their rivals. The Canary Islanders have been one of the most consistent teams in the division, combining defensive stability with efficient attacking play. They have won four of their eight league matches so far, drawing twice and losing only twice. Their most recent victory came against Cádiz, a narrow but deserved 1-0 success that highlighted their ability to grind out results.
Under their current form, Las Palmas have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding just 0.4. Their defense has been particularly impressive, keeping several clean sheets and rarely allowing opponents to create clear chances. Away from home, they remain unbeaten this season, having beaten Leganés (0-1) and Córdoba (1-3), while drawing 0-0 with Burgos. This unbeaten away record underlines their tactical discipline and ability to manage games effectively on the road.
Interestingly, Las Palmas’ matches tend to be low-scoring affairs. Under 1.5 goals have been recorded at half time in each of their last 12 league fixtures, and the same trend applies to their last 10 away games. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score before the break in 29 of their last 31 matches. This pattern reflects their cautious approach, prioritizing defensive organization and patience over early attacking risks.
This fixture brings together two teams in contrasting phases of development. Granada are rebuilding confidence after a poor start, while Las Palmas are consolidating their place among the promotion contenders. The home side will rely on their recent attacking momentum, but the absence of key players—especially in goal—could prove costly. Their defense has been leaky throughout the season, and facing a disciplined opponent like Las Palmas might expose those weaknesses again.
Las Palmas, on the other hand, have built their success on defensive resilience and tactical balance. They rarely score many goals but often do enough to secure points. Their ability to stay compact and capitalize on opponents’ mistakes has been a hallmark of their campaign so far. Given Granada’s goalkeeping crisis and Las Palmas’ strong away record, the visitors appear slightly better positioned to extend their unbeaten run.
Historically, this matchup has been balanced. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Granada have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in February 2024, suggesting another close contest could be on the cards. Both teams are in good form, but Las Palmas’ defensive consistency and Granada’s absences might tilt the balance slightly toward the visitors.
Granada vs Las Palmas prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Home Win (1) with a 46% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while an Away Win (2) stands at 29%. Additionally, there is a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals being scored in this match, reflecting both teams’ recent attacking trends.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Granada
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1