Granada and Mallorca close the second round of the 2026/27 La Liga 2 season on August 24, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 local time at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Both teams began their league campaigns without conceding: Granada drew 0-0 with Real Oviedo, while Mallorca defeated Real Valladolid 2-0. Their opening results, combined with encouraging preseason performances, set up a potentially balanced encounter. Granada are ranked 15th after the first round, whereas Mallorca occupy fifth place, but the early standings offer only a limited snapshot of the season.

Granada Recent Form and Key Statistics

Granada prepared for the new campaign by playing seven friendly matches, recording four victories, one draw and two defeats. That sequence provided a positive foundation after a difficult 2025/26 season in which the club performed below expectations. Pacheta's team then opened its La Liga 2 schedule with a goalless draw away to Real Oviedo on August 15.

The 0-0 result was not an unfair reflection of a contest that offered opportunities to both teams, although Granada produced the stronger expected-goals figure. Real Oviedo registered 0.47 expected goals, compared with Granada's 0.81. The visitors therefore went slightly closer to finding a decisive breakthrough but could not convert that advantage into a goal.

Across Granada's last five matches, the team have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their averages over that period stand at 1.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game. Those numbers point to a side capable of combining positive results with defensive control, although the opening league fixture also highlighted the need for greater precision in front of goal.

Granada's La Liga 2 record currently reads no wins, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. There have also been four goalless matches among their last 17 home fixtures in this division and four among their last 18 home games across all competitions. While those figures do not make another 0-0 inevitable, they show that extremely low-scoring outcomes have occurred regularly enough to remain relevant.

Mallorca Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mallorca arrive with an unbeaten sequence behind them. Their preseason consisted of four victories and one draw, including a 3-0 success against PSG, whose squad was affected by multiple absences. The competitive campaign then began with a 2-0 home victory over Real Valladolid on August 15.

The opening win demonstrated Mallorca's efficiency more than complete control of the match. Real Valladolid accumulated the higher expected-goals total, but Mallorca were more clinical and turned their opportunities into a two-goal victory. That ability to decide games through effectiveness in the penalty areas was one of the clearest features of their first league performance.

Luis García's side have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding 0.6. Their early La Liga 2 record is one victory from one fixture, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 allowed. They have also scored in six consecutive matches without suffering a defeat, giving them momentum before this away assignment.

The visitors were described before the match as one of the leading promotion candidates, supported by a deep squad containing players accustomed to Spain's top level. Nevertheless, their performance against Real Valladolid showed that they may not always dominate the underlying attacking numbers. Their finishing and defensive resilience proved sufficient on the opening weekend, and similar efficiency could again be important against Granada.

Granada vs Mallorca Match Analysis

The available evidence presents an intriguing contrast. Mallorca have the stronger recent attacking average and began the season with a convincing scoreline, while Granada's recent record is built around conceding very few goals. Both teams kept clean sheets in the first round, so neither defence has yet been breached in the new La Liga 2 campaign.

The head-to-head summary favours Granada, who have recorded four wins and one defeat across the listed meetings with Mallorca. Their averages in that sample are 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest encounter finished 1-0 on March 16, 2024, adding another narrow result to the information available before this fixture.

The broader match probabilities underline how difficult the contest is to assess. Granada are assigned a 47% chance of victory, the draw stands at 27%, and Mallorca have a 26% chance. Those figures differ from the view in the source article that gave the visitors some favouritism, so the structured probabilities must take priority. The double-chance case for Granada avoiding defeat is consequently strong, although Mallorca's unbeaten run and recent scoring form still demand respect.

Goals markets are almost evenly divided. Both Teams To Score is rated at 48% for Yes and 52% for No, while the Under 2.5-goal outcome also carries a 52% probability against 48% for Over. The supplied odds list Under 2.5 goals at 1.53 and Over 2.5 at 2.40. These numbers suggest that a controlled game with limited scoring is considered slightly more likely than an open contest.

Granada's 0-0 draw with Real Oviedo, Mallorca's clean sheet against Real Valladolid and the visitors' ability to win despite allowing the higher expected-goals total all support the prospect of a match decided by small margins. Mallorca bring greater recent scoring output, but Granada have conceded only 0.4 goals per game across their last five matches. With both sides protecting unbeaten league starts, the evidence narrowly leans toward a low-scoring conclusion.

Granada vs Mallorca prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.