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Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 7:13 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 7:13 PM
Granada host Real Valladolid on October 23 as the two sides open round 11 of La Liga 2. The match kicks off at 18:30 local time at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Granada sit seventh after three consecutive victories, while 13th-placed Valladolid arrive with a less consistent record and no win in their last 15 away league matches. Granada’s recent defensive improvement adds to their momentum, but Valladolid have scored freely in several recent games. That contrast makes this an intriguing meeting between a home side looking to extend its run and visitors seeking to change their away fortunes.
Granada began the campaign with two wins and a draw in August before going four matches without a victory, a sequence that included three defeats. The response has been emphatic: Pacheta’s side have beaten Real Sociedad B, Burgos and Cádiz in succession. A 3-2 win against Real Sociedad B began the run, followed by a 1-0 victory over Burgos and a 2-0 result against Cádiz on October 18. Keeping clean sheets in the latter two games is particularly encouraging after defensive problems contributed to Granada’s earlier dip.
Their season record stands at five wins, two draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per league match. Across their last five fixtures, Granada have three wins and two losses, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 1.6 per game on average. Those figures show why the latest back-to-back shutouts matter: the current winning streak has brought results at both ends of the pitch.
At home, Granada have beaten Mallorca and Cádiz by 2-0 scorelines, drawn 1-1 with Albacete and lost 3-2 to Andorra in the matches detailed so far. Their only defeat in that group of fixtures came despite a 23-6 advantage in shots. The most recent home outing against Cádiz therefore offers a useful reference point for this preview: Granada converted their chances into a two-goal win without conceding.
Goals have been shared across the squad, with nine Granada players finding the net this season. Jorge Pascual leads the team with three goals, while Pedro Alemañ and Arnaiz have scored twice each. Alemañ has also supplied an assist, and Sergio Rodelas has three league assists. That range of contributors gives Granada more than one source of attacking output as they pursue a fourth straight victory.
Real Valladolid have recorded three wins, three draws and four defeats in La Liga 2. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while their last five games have brought two wins, two draws and one loss. Over that five-match span, their scoring average rises to 2.6 goals per game, though they have also conceded 1.4 per match. The attacking return is notable, but it has not yet produced a sustained run of wins.
Their results illustrate the variation. After defeats to Mallorca and Eibar at the start of the campaign, Valladolid drew with Cádiz and beat Andorra, then lost 3-0 to Oviedo. More recently, they drew with Ceuta, defeated Córdoba 3-1, shared a 2-2 draw with Las Palmas and beat Albacete 5-0. Their latest match, on October 18, ended in a 3-2 defeat to Eldense. Valladolid took the lead in that game and later equalised in the 83rd minute, only for Eldense to score the winner in the 95th.
Away results are the clearest concern for Fran Escribá’s side before this trip. Valladolid have not won any of their last 15 away matches in La Liga 2 and have conceded at least once in every game in that sequence. Granada’s improved defensive results and recent home win make that record especially relevant, although Valladolid’s recent scoring figures suggest the visitors still have the means to trouble their hosts.
Adrián Arnuncio has contributed four goals and one assist in six appearances, while Latasa has scored three times. Julien Ponceau has two goals and four assists, and Víctor Fernández has one goal and four assists. Fernández will not be available because of a suspension, removing one of Valladolid’s leading providers from the match.
This Granada vs Real Valladolid preview centres on two competing trends. Granada have won three straight games and kept clean sheets in the last two; Valladolid have averaged more than two goals per game across their last five, yet remain without an away league win over a 15-match sequence. Granada also hold the higher league position, sitting seventh to Valladolid’s 13th, but the visitors’ recent attacking returns make their challenge difficult to dismiss.
The available head-to-head summary offers no simple advantage for Granada: across five meetings, they have won twice and lost three times, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Current form may therefore be more useful than that record when weighing this fixture. Granada’s consecutive wins over Burgos and Cádiz were both accompanied by clean sheets, whereas Valladolid conceded three in their defeat to Eldense. Whether Granada can maintain that defensive improvement against Valladolid’s recent scoring output is one of the match’s central questions.
Home advantage also carries weight because of Valladolid’s prolonged away winless run. At the same time, Granada’s three wins in their last five league games came alongside two defeats, so their recent surge should not be mistaken for an uninterrupted season of strong results. A fourth consecutive victory is within reach if they build on the control shown against Cádiz, but Valladolid’s attacking contributors give the visitors a route into the contest.
Granada vs Real Valladolid prediction from BetMines: Granada win (1) with 44% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Granada
Real Valladolid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2