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Prediction published on Sep 2, 2026 6:11 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Sep 2, 2026 6:11 PM
Grenoble Foot 38 welcome Annecy for an Alpine derby in the fifth round of the 2026/27 Ligue 2 season. The match takes place at the Stade des Alpes in Grenoble on Friday, September 4, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The hosts enter the fixture after finally securing their first league victory of the campaign, while the visitors have lost only once across their opening four matches. Grenoble sit 13th after collecting four points from a possible 12, whereas sixth-placed Annecy have seven points. Although only one point separates the teams in terms of their average goals scored, their defensive numbers and recent results give the visitors a slight statistical advantage. The latest head-to-head meeting ended 1-1 on February 6, 2026, adding another layer of intrigue to a closely balanced derby.
Grenoble Foot 38 had to wait until their fourth Ligue 2 match to celebrate a win. After taking only one point from the opening three rounds, Olivier Frapolli's team responded emphatically with a 3-0 away victory over Laval on August 28. That result provided a timely confidence boost ahead of an important home fixture and showed that Grenoble can be effective in front of goal after a difficult start.
Across their last five matches, Grenoble have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game during that sequence but conceded 2.2, highlighting the defensive issues behind the mixed run. Their Ligue 2 record this season stands at one victory, one draw and two losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match.
Some of Grenoble's broader home figures also point towards the possibility of a tight contest. There have been no goals in six of their last 15 Ligue 2 home matches, while four of their latest ten home fixtures have also finished without a goal. In league competition, five of their last 16 matches have produced under 0.5 total goals. Those patterns contrast sharply with the recent 3-0 success at Laval, leaving the hosts with the challenge of carrying that attacking improvement into the derby.
Annecy have made the stronger start of the two sides. Laurent Guyot's team opened their campaign by beating Pau FC 1-0 away before earning a 2-0 home victory over Rodez. Their perfect opening ended with a 3-1 defeat at Reims, but they immediately steadied themselves by drawing 1-1 with Metz on August 29. Two wins, one draw and one defeat from four rounds leave the visitors sixth in Ligue 2.
Over their last five matches, Annecy have collected two victories, two draws and one loss, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their season averages are 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against, so they have matched Grenoble's attacking output while conceding one goal fewer per game. This difference helps explain why Annecy approach the derby with a marginal edge in the available win probabilities: 36% for the visitors, compared with 35% for Grenoble and 30% for the draw.
The most striking Annecy trends concern the first half of their away fixtures. Their last 12 away matches have all contained at least one goal before half-time, including each of their last 11 Ligue 2 away games. Annecy have also been ahead at the interval in their last four away league matches. Across a wider sample, they have held a half-time lead in six of their last ten matches overall and in six of their latest ten Ligue 2 games.
At the same time, the early scoring pattern does not necessarily mean that both teams are regularly finding the net before the break. At least one side failed to score in the first half in 29 of Annecy's last 31 Ligue 2 matches. Their away results have also tended to be decisive, as Annecy have avoided a draw in 19 of their last 20 matches on the road.
The derby brings together a home side lifted by its first victory and an away team that has produced the more consistent opening to the season. Grenoble Foot 38 will look to build on the clarity of their 3-0 performance at Laval, but their wider record remains uneven. Three defeats in the last five matches and an average of 2.2 goals conceded during that period show why one convincing result does not remove every concern.
Annecy, meanwhile, have shown an ability to respond positively. After winning their first two games and then losing at Reims, they avoided another defeat by taking a point against Metz. Their average of only one goal conceded per league match is better than Grenoble's figure of two, while the head-to-head summary also offers encouragement. From the five meetings covered by the data, Grenoble have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded.
The overall goal indicators suggest that this may remain controlled despite the possibility of an early breakthrough. Under 2.5 goals carries a 60% probability, while both teams not scoring is rated at 54%. However, Annecy's repeated away first-half trend is even clearer: at least one opening-period goal has appeared in 12 consecutive away matches, and the visitors have led at half-time in each of their last four away Ligue 2 fixtures. That combination makes the opening 45 minutes a central part of the Grenoble Foot 38 vs Annecy preview.
Grenoble Foot 38 vs Annecy prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Grenoble Foot 38
Annecy
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1