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Prediction published on Oct 26, 2025 8:12 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 26, 2025 8:24 PM
In the twelfth round of Ligue 2, Grenoble Foot 38 will host EA Guingamp at the Stade des Alpes this Tuesday evening. Both sides are eager to bounce back after a difficult run of results, making this a crucial fixture for their ambitions. Grenoble find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 15th in the table with the same number of points as the first relegation spot. Meanwhile, Guingamp, who started the season with promotion hopes, have recently lost momentum and need a positive result to stay in touch with the playoff contenders.
Grenoble’s start to the 2025/26 Ligue 2 campaign has been far from ideal. With a record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, Franck Rizzetto’s men have struggled to find consistency. Their recent 1-0 loss to Red Star on October 24 highlighted their attacking limitations, as they failed to convert possession into clear chances. Over their last five matches, Grenoble have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Despite their struggles, the Stade des Alpes has offered some encouragement. Grenoble have scored in four of their first five home fixtures this season, showing that they can be more dangerous in front of their fans. Their defensive structure remains solid, but lapses in concentration have cost them valuable points. With the team hovering just above the relegation zone, this match represents a vital opportunity to regain confidence and climb the standings.
EA Guingamp entered the season aiming to challenge for promotion, but their recent form has slowed that momentum. The team led by Sylvain Ripoll has collected only 2 points from their last three matches, including a narrow 0-1 defeat to Clermont in their most recent outing. Over their last five games, Guingamp have achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Guingamp’s attacking approach has been one of their strengths this season, with Over 0.5 goals scored in each of their last 40 matches across all competitions. They have also been prolific away from home, finding the net in 22 consecutive away fixtures in Ligue 2. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game this season. Maintaining balance between attack and defense will be crucial if they are to secure a positive result in Grenoble.
This encounter promises to be an open and competitive battle between two sides desperate to rediscover their rhythm. Both Grenoble and Guingamp have shown attacking intent but have struggled to maintain defensive stability. The hosts will rely on their home advantage and the energy of the Stade des Alpes crowd to push forward, while Guingamp’s strong away scoring record suggests they will not hesitate to attack.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with the last head-to-head ending 1-1 on February 21, 2025. In their last five meetings, Grenoble have failed to win, recording 3 draws and 2 defeats, while scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.6. These numbers underline Guingamp’s slight upper hand in recent clashes. Still, both teams’ current form indicates that goals are likely at both ends, as each side has defensive vulnerabilities and offensive potential.
Guingamp’s recent matches have been particularly entertaining, with both teams scoring in the second half of their last four away games. Similarly, Grenoble’s home fixtures have rarely been short of action, as they have found the net in most of their recent appearances at the Stade des Alpes. Given these trends, fans can expect a lively contest with opportunities for both sides.
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 53% probability. Both sides have shown attacking consistency but defensive fragility, making this the most probable scenario for Tuesday’s Ligue 2 clash.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Grenoble Foot 38
Guingamp
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1