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Prediction published on Jan 9, 2026 2:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 9, 2026 2:02 AM
The opening round of the Clausura 2026 continues with an exciting clash between Guadalajara and Pachuca, two sides that regularly fight for a place in the final stages of the Liga MX. The match will take place at the Estadio Akron, where both teams aim to start the new campaign on the right foot. Guadalajara come into this fixture as one of the most consistent teams from the previous season, while Pachuca will be looking to bounce back after a disappointing finish in the Apertura.
Guadalajara finished last season in sixth position with nine wins, two draws and six defeats, collecting 29 points. Their attacking record was solid, scoring 29 goals and conceding 22. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite a 3-2 loss against Cruz Azul on December 1, 2025, the team remains competitive and confident ahead of this new campaign.
At home, Guadalajara have shown strength and consistency, winning at half time in six of their last ten Liga MX matches. Only three of their last thirteen home games have ended with under 0.5 total goals, highlighting their attacking intent at the Estadio Akron. Their overall season stats show a balanced side: 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Among the standout players, Armando González was a key figure last season, scoring twelve goals and providing one assist in 14 starts. His performances earned him the award for best player of the season and the top scorer title, sharing the honor with Joao Pedro and Paulinho. With his form and confidence, he will once again be crucial for Guadalajara’s attacking ambitions.
Pachuca ended the previous campaign in ninth place with seven wins, four draws and eight defeats, totaling 25 points. Their goal difference was even, with 21 scored and 21 conceded, reflecting a team that struggled for consistency. In their last five matches, they have managed just one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 loss against Juárez on November 24, 2025.
Although Pachuca were eliminated in the second round of the play-in last season, they remain a side with potential. The team has undergone changes in management and squad composition, aiming to rebuild a more competitive unit. Veteran striker Salomón Rondón returns as one of the key figures, bringing experience and leadership to a side that hopes to rediscover its winning mentality. However, their recent away form has been inconsistent, and they will need to improve defensively to challenge Guadalajara.
Historically, Guadalajara have dominated this fixture. In their last five meetings against Pachuca, they have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.2. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Pachuca on November 3, 2025, a result that Guadalajara will be eager to avenge.
Both teams tend to play open football, and the statistics suggest a balanced contest in terms of scoring potential. The probability of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 54%, while the Over 2.5 goals market also shows a 54% likelihood. Guadalajara’s attacking rhythm and home advantage could make the difference, especially considering their ability to take early leads and maintain control of possession.
For Pachuca, the key will be to stay compact and exploit counterattacks through experienced forwards. However, their defensive fragility and recent form may leave them vulnerable against a Guadalajara side that thrives in front of their fans. The home team’s motivation to start strong and erase the memory of their quarterfinal elimination could be decisive.
Considering the current form, head-to-head record, and attacking efficiency, Guadalajara appear to have the upper hand. Their consistency at home and superior goal-scoring record make them favorites to secure all three points in this opening round of the Clausura 2026.
Guadalajara vs Pachuca prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guadalajara
Pachuca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
6
4
9
1