Tools
Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 6:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 6:02 AM
The action in Liga MX continues with an intriguing clash between Guadalajara and Santos Laguna, two sides living very different realities this season. The match will take place at the Estadio Akron, where the home team will look to keep their title hopes alive and possibly reclaim the top spot in the standings. For the visitors, this fixture represents another chance to escape from the bottom of the table and prove that their recent win was not a coincidence.
Guadalajara enter this encounter sitting third in the Liga MX table, showing consistency throughout the campaign. Their record of 16 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats reflects a team that rarely settles for a draw — in fact, they have avoided stalemates in 19 of their last 20 league matches. The team’s attacking output has been solid, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2.
In their most recent outing, Guadalajara earned a valuable 2-1 away victory against Atlas on March 8, a result that helped them bounce back from two consecutive defeats. Over their last five matches, they have collected three wins and two losses, maintaining an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game. Their home form has also been encouraging, with the team leading at half time in each of their last three home fixtures.
One of the players to watch is Ángel Sepúlveda, who has already contributed two goals this season despite limited starting opportunities. His experience and finishing ability could once again prove decisive, especially against a defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets.
At the opposite end of the table, Santos Laguna find themselves in a difficult position, currently ranked 18th in Liga MX. Their season record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 16 defeats highlights their inconsistency, particularly in defense, where they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match. Despite these struggles, there have been signs of improvement in recent weeks.
The visitors finally ended a long winless streak with a 2-1 victory over Tijuana on March 9, a result that lifted morale within the squad. In their last five matches, Santos Laguna have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. However, their away form remains a major concern — they have failed to win in 19 of their last 20 away league games and have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 20 away fixtures.
Midfielder Ezequiel Bullaude has been one of the few bright spots for Santos Laguna this season. The Argentine has scored four goals and provided one assist in nine appearances, often being the creative spark in an otherwise inconsistent side. His performance will be crucial if the visitors are to challenge Guadalajara’s defense.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these two sides has been balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Guadalajara in August 2025, a result that underlines how tight these matches can be. However, the current form and momentum clearly favor the home side.
Guadalajara’s attacking rhythm and home advantage make them strong favorites, especially considering Santos Laguna’s defensive vulnerabilities. The visitors have been involved in high-scoring matches lately — Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 10 league games and in their last nine away fixtures. This trend suggests that another open and entertaining match could be on the cards.
While Guadalajara’s defense has shown occasional lapses, their offensive efficiency and ability to dominate at home should give them the upper hand. Santos Laguna, on the other hand, will likely rely on counterattacks and set pieces to find scoring opportunities, but their defensive fragility could once again cost them valuable points.
Based on the current data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%. Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games, and with Guadalajara’s attacking form combined with Santos Laguna’s defensive issues, goals are expected at the Estadio Akron.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guadalajara
Santos Laguna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
3
7
8
2
4.5
6
4
9
1