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Prediction published on Apr 24, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 24, 2026 4:01 AM
The action in the 17th round of Liga MX continues with a highly anticipated clash between Guadalajara and Tijuana. The match will take place at the Estadio Akron, where the league leaders host a side still fighting for a place in the quarter-finals. With both teams motivated by different objectives, this encounter promises intensity, goals, and plenty of drama as the regular phase nears its end.
Guadalajara arrive at this fixture sitting at the top of the Liga MX standings. Their consistency has been remarkable, with a record of 20 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats throughout the season, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. In their last five outings, they have registered two victories, two draws, and one loss, maintaining an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their most recent result was a goalless draw against Necaxa on April 23, following a dominant 5-0 win over Puebla and a 3-1 defeat to Tigres.
At home, Guadalajara have been particularly strong, winning at half time in 10 of their last 12 home matches in Liga MX. This early dominance often sets the tone for their performances, allowing them to control the rhythm of the game and manage leads effectively. Their attacking power has been complemented by a solid defensive structure, which has helped them maintain their position as league leaders.
Among the standout players, Diego Campillo has been a key figure in defense. The 24-year-old Mexican has started 11 of 14 possible matches, providing two assists and earning recognition as part of the team of the week once this season. His reliability and consistency have been crucial for Guadalajara’s defensive balance.
Tijuana enter this match in ninth place, still with a chance to secure a spot in the final phase. Their season record stands at 13 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Over their last five matches, they have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, showing a positive trend in recent weeks. Their latest victory came against Pachuca, a convincing 3-1 win that boosted their confidence heading into this crucial fixture.
The border side has shown resilience and attacking intent, with their recent performances suggesting a team capable of competing against stronger opponents. Defensively, they have improved their organization, conceding fewer goals compared to earlier in the campaign. Their ability to adapt tactically has been one of their main strengths, especially in away matches where they often rely on quick transitions and compact defending.
Defender Iván Tona has been one of Tijuana’s most consistent performers. The 28-year-old has started 15 matches, contributing one assist and averaging 88 minutes per game. His experience and leadership at the back have been vital for maintaining stability in the defensive line.
The recent history between Guadalajara and Tijuana has been balanced. In their last five meetings, Guadalajara have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with both teams averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded per encounter. Their most recent clash ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw on August 23, 2025, highlighting the attacking potential on both sides.
Given the current form and the stakes involved, this match is expected to be open and competitive. Guadalajara will look to assert their dominance early, leveraging their home advantage and offensive rhythm. Tijuana, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, aiming to exploit spaces on the counterattack. Both teams have shown the ability to find the net consistently, which could lead to another high-scoring affair.
For Guadalajara, securing a win would practically guarantee their position at the top of the table, while Tijuana must win to keep their hopes of reaching the quarter-finals alive. The psychological pressure on both sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to this encounter, making it one of the standout fixtures of the round.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 52% probability. The attacking efficiency of both squads, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, supports the expectation of goals at both ends. With Guadalajara’s strong home record and Tijuana’s need to push forward, fans can anticipate an entertaining and goal-filled contest.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guadalajara
Tijuana
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0