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Guayaquil City vs Libertad Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Pro 15-08-2026

Guayaquil City

2 - 2

FT

Libertad

Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt
Jennifer Mishel Canchingre Preciado
light rain °C

Prediction published on Aug 13, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Ecuador - Liga Pro | Modified on Aug 13, 2026 10:03 PM

The Liga Pro season continues with a matchday 25 meeting between Guayaquil City and Libertad on August 15, 2026. The two teams have produced different results in recent weeks, even though their overall league records remain relatively close. Guayaquil City begin the fixture in 11th place after an inconsistent campaign, while seventh-placed Libertad arrive with considerably stronger momentum. The hosts are trying to recover from a sequence in which victories have been difficult to secure, whereas the visitors have won four of their last five matches. With both sides averaging no more than 1.1 goals scored per league game this season, the available statistics point towards a competitive contest in which clear opportunities could be valuable.

Guayaquil City Recent Form and Key Statistics

Guayaquil City enter this home fixture after a 0-0 draw against Emelec on August 10. That result continued their uneven run and left them with one victory, three draws and one defeat across their last five matches. During that period, they averaged only 0.6 goals scored per game, although their defensive average was equally low at 0.6 conceded. Those figures show that their recent matches have generally been tightly balanced, with limited separation between Guayaquil City and their opponents.

The broader Liga Pro record follows a similar pattern. The home side have collected seven wins, eight draws and nine defeats this season, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their total of 29 points places them 11th in the competition. The number of draws and the narrow difference between their scoring and conceding averages underline why turning competitive performances into victories has been a recurring challenge.

Recent home results strengthen the expectation of another controlled encounter. The last two Liga Pro matches hosted by Guayaquil City produced under 0.5 total goals, meaning both fixtures ended without a goal. In addition, 19 of their previous 20 home matches have finished with under 3.5 goals. This is a particularly consistent trend and suggests that their home games rarely develop into high-scoring contests.

There have also been five goalless matches among Guayaquil City's last 25 fixtures overall, including two across their most recent ten Liga Pro appearances. Their immediate priority will therefore be to improve their attacking output without losing the defensive stability demonstrated in the draw with Emelec. With just 0.6 goals scored per game over the latest five-match sequence, taking advantage of the chances they create could prove decisive.

Libertad Recent Form and Key Statistics

Libertad approach the game in much better recent form. They defeated Universidad Católica 2-1 on August 10, extending a sequence that contains four victories and only one defeat from their last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game during that run while conceding just 0.4. Compared with Guayaquil City's recent numbers, the visitors arrive with both greater attacking production and a slightly stronger defensive average.

Across the full Liga Pro campaign, Libertad have registered nine wins, six draws and nine losses. Their average stands at 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, placing them seventh in the rankings. Although the identical scoring and conceding figures illustrate a balanced season overall, their latest results indicate a clear improvement: four wins in five games represent the strongest current trend available for either side.

Libertad have also shown that they can compete effectively away from home. Only two of their last ten away league matches ended with under 0.5 total goals, so eight of those fixtures contained at least one goal. Another notable pattern concerns corners, with over 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last 16 away Liga Pro matches. That sustained sequence suggests their games on the road have regularly generated action around the attacking areas, even when the final score has remained relatively restrained.

The visitors can also take encouragement from the most recent direct meeting. Libertad won that match 1-0 on April 21, 2026. However, the overall head-to-head record is completely balanced, with one victory for Guayaquil City, one draw and one Libertad win. Both teams have averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded across those encounters, another indication that their previous meetings have offered little between them.

Guayaquil City vs Libertad Match Analysis

The contrast between home conditions and recent momentum defines this Liga Pro preview. Guayaquil City have struggled to collect wins lately, but their defensive numbers remain respectable. They conceded an average of only 0.6 goals over their last five games and kept a clean sheet against Emelec. Their last two home league fixtures were goalless, while 19 of the previous 20 stayed below four total goals. Those numbers make it difficult to expect the hosts to abandon the measured pattern seen in their recent home appearances.

Libertad, meanwhile, bring the more convincing run of results. Four wins in five matches, combined with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, provide a strong recent platform. Their 2-1 success against Universidad Católica should also reinforce confidence before this trip. Nevertheless, their season-long averages of 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded are more moderate, so the recent surge must be assessed alongside a campaign containing nine wins and nine defeats.

The statistical balance points to a match in which the opening goal could carry particular importance. Guayaquil City have produced very little scoring at home recently, while Libertad won the latest head-to-head encounter by a single goal. The complete direct record remains level at one win each and one draw, with both sides averaging below one goal per meeting. Guayaquil City will seek to use their defensive resistance to end their winless spell, but Libertad's sharper form gives the away side a meaningful source of confidence. Overall, this fixture combines the hosts' low-scoring home trend with the visitors' superior recent results, setting up a closely fought match rather than an obviously open contest.

Guayaquil City vs Libertad - Predictions

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Guayaquil City vs Libertad: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Guayaquil City

Libertad

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

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Standings of Guayaquil City and Libertad in Liga Pro

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

8

Libertad

25

9

7

9

28:29

34

1.36

W
W
W
W
D
12

Guayaquil City

25

7

9

9

22:27

30

1.2

D
D
L
D
D
Championship Round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round

Who will win ?

Guayaquil City vs Libertad: Frequently asked questions

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When will Guayaquil City vs Libertad be played?
The Liga Pro match between Guayaquil City and Libertad will be played on August 15, 2026 at 21:30.
Where will Guayaquil City vs Libertad be played?
The match between Guayaquil City and Libertad will be played at Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil - Ecuador
Who will referee Guayaquil City vs Libertad?
The referee for the match will be Jennifer Mishel Canchingre Preciado.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Guayaquil City vs Libertad in the Liga Pro?
The odds are: Guayaquil City to win 1.95, draw 3.25, Libertad to win 3.90.
What are the betting odds for Guayaquil City vs Libertad for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Pro?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.07 and Under 2.5 at 1.72.
Will both Guayaquil City and Libertad score in the Liga Pro?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.90, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Guayaquil City vs Libertad in the Liga Pro?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Guayaquil City and Libertad?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Guayaquil City and Libertad, Guayaquil City won 1 times, Libertad won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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