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Prediction published on Mar 11, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Mar 11, 2026 9:02 PM
The upcoming Ligue 2 clash between EA Guingamp and Amiens SC promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides. Scheduled for Friday evening, this fixture at the Stade du Roudourou could play a decisive role in shaping the final stretch of their seasons. Guingamp, currently sitting mid-table, are desperate to return to winning ways after a long run without victory, while Amiens SC find themselves in the relegation zone and in urgent need of points to avoid further trouble. With both teams struggling for consistency, this match could deliver plenty of tension and drama.
Guingamp have endured a frustrating spell in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last six league matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Laval on March 6, a result that extended their sequence of three consecutive draws. Over their last five Ligue 2 fixtures, Guingamp have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Despite this modest run, the team remains in 10th place in the standings, with an overall record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses.
At home, Guingamp have shown resilience but have struggled to turn performances into victories. Their attack has been inconsistent, though they rarely fail to find the net — only 3 of their last 15 Ligue 2 matches have ended with under 0.5 total goals. Defensively, they have been relatively stable, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. The team’s challenge now is to rediscover the winning mentality that once had them close to the promotion playoff spots earlier in the campaign.
Guingamp’s supporters will hope that the return to their home ground can inspire a turnaround. The team’s ability to control possession and create chances has not been in question, but converting those opportunities into goals remains their biggest obstacle. A victory here would not only end their winless streak but also reignite their hopes of finishing in the top half of the table.
Amiens SC approach this fixture under significant pressure. The team sits 16th in the Ligue 2 table, dangerously close to the relegation zone, and has collected just one point from their last four matches. Their latest defeat came against Boulogne (4-2) on March 6, following another loss to Troyes (0-2). Over their last five games, Amiens have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals but conceding a worrying 2.6 per match.
Defensive instability has been their main weakness, with the team struggling to maintain concentration for the full 90 minutes. Their season record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses highlights the inconsistency that has plagued their campaign. However, Amiens have shown some attacking potential, often managing to score even in defeat. Matches involving the club tend to be open and entertaining, with Over 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last 17 games and Over 8.5 corners in 14 of their most recent Ligue 2 fixtures.
Despite their struggles, Amiens SC remain capable of surprising opponents, particularly when their attack clicks. Yet, their defensive fragility and poor away form make this trip to Guingamp a daunting challenge. With four points separating them from safety, every match now feels like a final for Omar Daf’s men.
This encounter brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions but similar recent difficulties. Guingamp will look to capitalize on home advantage and their slightly superior form, while Amiens SC must find a way to tighten their defense if they are to leave Roudourou with a positive result. Historically, meetings between these teams have been balanced — in their last five head-to-head clashes, each side has won twice, with one draw, and an average of 1.6 goals scored per team.
Given the attacking tendencies of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities, this match could produce goals. Guingamp’s need to end their winless run and Amiens’ desperation to escape the relegation zone should ensure an open and competitive contest. The home side’s slightly better balance between attack and defense, combined with their stronger overall record, gives them a small edge heading into this fixture.
BetMines Prediction: EA Guingamp win (1) with a probability of 55%. The draw (X) stands at 24%, while an Amiens SC win (2) is estimated at 21%. Both teams are expected to contribute offensively, with Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score – Yes each holding a 54% likelihood.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guingamp
Amiens SC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3