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Prediction published on Jan 1, 2026 8:06 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Jan 1, 2026 8:06 PM
The upcoming Ligue 2 clash between EA Guingamp and US Boulogne promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides. Scheduled for Saturday evening, this fixture at the Stade du Roudourou could have significant implications for the rest of the season. Guingamp, currently sitting mid-table, are eager to bounce back after a difficult run, while Boulogne travel with renewed confidence following a series of competitive performances. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, fans can expect a lively contest.
Guingamp enter this match in need of a reaction after suffering consecutive defeats in Ligue 2, including a 0-1 loss to Laval on December 19. Their recent form shows inconsistency, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5 outings. Despite this, the team has managed to maintain an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game during that period, suggesting a balance between attack and defense that could be decisive at home.
Over the course of the season, Guingamp’s record stands at 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. These numbers underline their potential going forward but also highlight defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them valuable points. Currently ranked 9th in Ligue 2, they are six points adrift of the top five and will be determined to close that gap with a strong home performance.
Historically, Guingamp have found it difficult to dominate Boulogne, with a head-to-head record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. Their last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on October 17, 2025, a result that reflects the competitive nature of this fixture. To regain momentum, Guingamp will need to rediscover their scoring touch and tighten up defensively, especially in the second half where they have often been exposed.
US Boulogne approach this match with cautious optimism. Despite being positioned 16th in the table, they have shown resilience in recent weeks, losing only once in their last five matches — a narrow 1-2 defeat to Troyes on December 15. Their recent record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss demonstrates a capacity to compete even against stronger sides, and their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game suggests a team that rarely goes down without a fight.
Across the season, Boulogne’s Ligue 2 campaign has produced 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. While their defensive record remains a concern, their attacking output has improved notably in recent weeks. A particularly interesting trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 12 matches, showing their ability to stay competitive until the final whistle.
For Boulogne, every point is vital in their fight to avoid relegation. Sitting just two points above the drop zone, they will aim to capitalize on Guingamp’s recent struggles. Their away form has been unpredictable, but their fighting spirit and late-game energy could make them dangerous opponents in this encounter.
This Ligue 2 fixture brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions but similar recent patterns. Guingamp are under pressure to return to winning ways and keep their promotion hopes alive, while Boulogne are battling to climb away from the lower end of the table. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, and their head-to-head history suggests a balanced contest with goals at both ends.
Given the statistics, this match could be open and entertaining. Guingamp’s attacking average of 1.5 goals per game and Boulogne’s consistent scoring record point toward a high probability of both sides finding the net. The last meeting’s 2-2 scoreline also supports this expectation. With both teams eager to prove a point, the game could hinge on defensive concentration and efficiency in front of goal.
In terms of probabilities, Guingamp hold a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, while Boulogne’s chances stand at 27% and the draw at 26%. However, the balance in recent performances suggests that neither side can be ruled out. The data also indicates a 50% likelihood for Both Teams To Score (Yes), reinforcing the idea of a competitive and goal-filled encounter.
Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guingamp
Boulogne
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
4
6
1.5
4
6
6
4
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2