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Prediction published on Oct 29, 2025 8:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 29, 2025 9:04 PM
The 13th round of Ligue 2 brings an intriguing clash at the Stade du Roudourou, where EA Guingamp host Stade Lavallois on Friday evening. Both teams are in need of points, but for very different reasons. Guingamp are aiming to climb back into the promotion playoff race, while Laval are desperately trying to escape the relegation zone. The hosts have struggled to turn draws into wins lately, while the visitors are enduring a worrying run of form that has left them near the bottom of the table. This fixture could therefore be decisive for both sides as they look to change their momentum heading into the second third of the season.
Guingamp currently sit 10th in Ligue 2, just three points away from the top five. Despite their mid-table position, the team coached by Sylvain Ripoll has shown signs of solidity but lacks consistency in front of goal. Their recent 0-0 draw against Grenoble Foot 38 extended their winless streak to four matches, a run that has slightly slowed their progress after a promising start to the campaign. Over their last five league games, Guingamp have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Across the season, Guingamp’s record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their matches tend to be open, as shown by the fact that Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 games in all competitions. However, they have struggled to dominate in recent weeks, and their attack will need to rediscover its sharpness if they are to return to winning ways. On the other hand, their home ground remains a key advantage, and facing a struggling Laval side could be the perfect opportunity to regain confidence.
Interestingly, Guingamp’s recent matches have not been particularly rich in corners, with Under 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last four Ligue 2 fixtures. This suggests a more controlled tempo and fewer wide attacking plays, something Ripoll might look to adjust against a team that tends to sit deep defensively.
Stade Lavallois have endured a difficult start to the season, currently sitting 17th in the Ligue 2 standings. Their campaign has been marked by a lack of goals and defensive fragility. The team managed only a 1-1 draw against Le Mans in their most recent outing, extending their winless run to six matches. Over their last five games, Laval have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, scoring just 0.2 goals per match while conceding 0.8 on average.
Overall, Laval’s season record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking struggles have been evident, as they have failed to score in several matches and often rely on defensive resilience to secure points. Notably, Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten Ligue 2 fixtures, underlining their low-scoring trend. Away from home, Laval have also found it hard to create chances, with Under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten away matches in the league.
Coach Olivier Frapolli will be concerned about his team’s lack of cutting edge, especially as they face a Guingamp side that tends to perform well at home. The visitors will need to tighten up defensively and hope to capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks if they are to take anything from this encounter. Their morale is low after four defeats in their last six games, and a trip to Roudourou is unlikely to make things easier.
Historically, this fixture has often favored Guingamp. In their last five head-to-head meetings, the hosts have won three times and lost twice, including a 2-0 victory in their most recent encounter on March 29, 2025. That result reflected Guingamp’s ability to control the game and exploit Laval’s defensive weaknesses. Given the current form of both sides, a similar outcome could be on the cards.
Guingamp’s attacking numbers are far superior to Laval’s, and their home advantage could prove decisive. While Laval have shown some defensive discipline, their lack of offensive threat makes it difficult to imagine them breaking down Guingamp’s back line. The hosts will likely look to impose their rhythm early, using their midfield creativity to stretch Laval’s compact shape. If they can score first, the match could tilt heavily in their favor.
From a tactical standpoint, expect Guingamp to dominate possession and push higher up the pitch, while Laval will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on maintaining structure and hitting on the counter. However, with Guingamp’s need to end their winless run and Laval’s ongoing struggles, the balance of probabilities leans toward a home success.
Guingamp vs Laval prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Guingamp win (1) with a 46% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 28%, while a Laval win (2) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guingamp
Laval
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1