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Guingamp vs Pau Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 2 16-10-2026

Guingamp

1 - 2

FT

Pau

Stade du Roudourou
Thomas Vincent
scattered clouds 11.36 °C

Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 6:10 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 6:10 PM

Guingamp host Pau in a Ligue 2 fixture on October 16, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 at the Stade du Roudourou. The teams arrive with contrasting recent results. Guingamp have lost their last two matches and sit 12th in the league, while eighth-placed Pau have won twice in succession. Yet the season records leave room for a close contest: only one win separates them after eight league games. This Guingamp vs Pau preview looks at their recent form, scoring records and head-to-head results.

Guingamp's Recent Form and Key Stats

Guingamp have won two of their first eight Ligue 2 matches, drawing two and losing four. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat to Nancy on October 9, following a 3-1 loss to Red Star. Those consecutive setbacks have interrupted a five-match spell that also included two wins and a draw. For a side expected to challenge for a promotion play-off place, the start to the campaign has not brought the consistency they were seeking.

Across their last five games, Guingamp have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their season figures are similar, at 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded. Those numbers show that goals at the other end remain a concern, even though Guingamp have also found the net at a reasonable rate over their recent five-match stretch. After failing to score against Nancy, they return home looking to respond to back-to-back defeats.

The home setting gives Guingamp a chance to change the direction of their recent results, but the available figures do not establish a clear home-form advantage. Their immediate task is to improve on the performances that left them empty-handed against Red Star and Nancy. Pau's stronger run makes this a demanding fixture for the hosts, despite the gap between the sides being just four places in the current Ligue 2 rankings.

Pau's Recent Form and Key Stats

Pau approach the trip with consecutive victories behind them. They beat Dunkerque 2-0 before winning 3-2 against Laval on October 9. Those results form part of a five-match record of three wins, one draw and one defeat, a stronger recent return than Guingamp's two wins, one draw and two losses over the same span. Pau sit eighth in Ligue 2 and, according to the match information, are two points from the top five.

The visitors have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last five matches. Their eight-game league record stands at three wins, two draws and three defeats, with season averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The higher recent scoring average reflects their productive spell, including five goals across the wins over Dunkerque and Laval.

Those two victories were different in character: Pau kept a clean sheet against Dunkerque, then conceded twice while still taking the points against Laval. The results give them momentum for this fixture without suggesting that every match will follow the same pattern. Their season record is mixed, but their form over the latest five games provides a clear contrast with Guingamp's two straight losses.

Guingamp vs Pau Match Analysis

The recent scoring figures suggest both teams have opportunities to contribute to the scoreline. Guingamp have averaged 1.4 goals scored in their last five games but have conceded 1.6, while Pau's corresponding figures are 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Pau's 3-2 win over Laval and Guingamp's 3-1 defeat to Red Star are further examples of recent matches in which both sides scored. They do not guarantee a repeat, particularly after Guingamp's goalless outing at Nancy, but they help explain why goals at both ends are a relevant angle for this fixture.

The head-to-head record offers little separation. In the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, Guingamp have two wins, Pau have two wins and one game ended in a draw. Guingamp averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across those matches. The latest meeting finished 2-1 on April 17, 2026, though that result alone does not settle which side has the stronger case going into this game.

Pau have the better recent results, while Guingamp have an opportunity at home to halt their losing run. The hosts' season average of 1.6 goals conceded and Pau's improved scoring rate over the last five matches make the visitors' attack an important part of the preview. At the same time, Pau have conceded 1.2 per game during that recent spell, so Guingamp's prospects of scoring should not be overlooked. The evidence points to a competitive meeting rather than a straightforward outcome based solely on league position or the last two results.

Guingamp vs Pau prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.

Guingamp vs Pau - Predictions

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Guingamp vs Pau: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Guingamp

Pau

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Guingamp and Pau in Ligue 2

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

6

Pau

9

4

2

3

11:9

14

1.56

D
L
W
W
W
13

Guingamp

9

2

2

5

11:15

8

0.89

D
W
L
L
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Guingamp vs Pau: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Guingamp vs Pau be played?
The Ligue 2 match between Guingamp and Pau will be played on October 16, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Guingamp vs Pau be played?
The match between Guingamp and Pau will be played at Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp - France
Who will referee Guingamp vs Pau?
The referee for the match will be Thomas Vincent.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Guingamp vs Pau in the Ligue 2?
The odds are: Guingamp to win 2.10, draw 3.10, Pau to win 3.10.
What are the betting odds for Guingamp vs Pau for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 2?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.80 and Under 2.5 at 2.00.
Will both Guingamp and Pau score in the Ligue 2?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Guingamp vs Pau in the Ligue 2?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Guingamp and Pau?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Guingamp and Pau, Guingamp won 2 times, Pau won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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