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Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 12:12 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 12:12 PM
Guingamp welcome Red Star on September 19 for a Ligue 2 fixture that brings together two teams currently separated by five places in the standings. The hosts enter the seventh round in ninth position, while the visitors are fourth after losing only once in their opening six league matches. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:00 local time at the Stade du Roudourou. Guingamp have recovered from a difficult beginning by going unbeaten across their last three games, including an entertaining 3-3 draw with Nantes, a 2-2 draw against Reims and a 2-1 victory over Annecy. Red Star also approach this contest with momentum after consecutive wins over Laval and Metz. With the win probabilities almost evenly divided between Guingamp at 36% and Red Star at 37%, this Ligue 2 match preview points to a closely contested encounter.
Guingamp have recorded two wins, two draws and two defeats in their six Ligue 2 matches this season. Those results have placed them ninth, but their recent improvement means they come into this home game with confidence. After suffering two defeats in their first three fixtures, they avoided defeat in the following three and collected five points during that sequence.
The latest result was a 2-1 win over Annecy on September 12. That success followed high-scoring draws against Nantes and Reims, giving Guingamp seven goals across their last three matches. Their recent five-game figures also show an attacking average of 1.6 goals per match, alongside 1.4 conceded. Across the Ligue 2 season as a whole, the averages are perfectly balanced at 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Those numbers underline both Guingamp's attacking output and the difficulty they have had in keeping opponents quiet. They have scored at least twice in each of their last three reported results, but they also conceded six times across those fixtures. The ability to respond with goals has helped them build an unbeaten run, although Red Star's strong start represents a demanding test of that progress.
Red Star travel to this fixture in fourth place after collecting three wins, two draws and one defeat from their first six Ligue 2 games. Their only loss during that opening sequence was a 4-1 result against Reims. The response has been convincing, with consecutive victories restoring their momentum and strengthening their position near the leading places.
The visitors first defeated Laval 2-1 before earning a 1-0 win over Metz on September 14. The clean sheet in their latest appearance fits their season statistics, which show averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per league match. Across their last five games, Red Star have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal for and 1.2 against.
Red Star have also remained unbeaten away from home in the reported part of the season. That record gives them an important foundation for this trip, particularly after winning their recent away meeting with Laval. Their overall scoring average is lower than Guingamp's, but three league victories from six matches demonstrate their ability to convert competitive performances into points. Another disciplined display could therefore make this a difficult afternoon for the home side.
The available numbers suggest a balanced match with realistic scoring potential at both ends. Guingamp have been more productive in recent fixtures, scoring an average of 1.6 goals across their last five and finding the net seven times in their current three-game unbeaten sequence. However, they have also conceded regularly, with their season average standing at 1.5 goals allowed per match.
Red Star's recent attacking figures are more restrained, but the visitors scored in both victories immediately before this fixture. They also hold the stronger league record, having won three of six matches compared with Guingamp's two. The narrow gap in the match-winner probabilities reinforces the sense that neither side has a decisive statistical advantage: Red Star are rated at 37%, Guingamp at 36% and the draw at 27%.
The head-to-head record provides another significant part of the preview. Guingamp's summary against Red Star stands at zero wins, zero draws and four defeats, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Their latest meeting ended 3-2 on April 24, 2026, producing five goals. While that score does not guarantee another open contest, it combines with Guingamp's recent 3-3 and 2-2 draws to strengthen the case for goalmouth action.
The goal markets are closely matched. Over 2.5 goals carries a 51% probability compared with 49% for the under, while both teams to score is rated more clearly at 55% against 45% for the opposite outcome. Guingamp's combination of consistent recent scoring and regular concessions is central to that assessment. Red Star's away resilience and stronger head-to-head record may give the visitors confidence, but the hosts' current attacking form makes a one-sided game less convincing than an exchange of goals.
Guingamp vs Red Star prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guingamp
Red Star
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3