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Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 9:01 PM
The 23rd round of Ligue 2 brings an intriguing clash between EA Guingamp and AS Saint-Étienne, scheduled for Saturday evening at 20:00. Both teams are still in the race for promotion, and this encounter at the Stade du Roudourou could prove decisive for their ambitions. Guingamp, currently sitting 8th in the table, are only four points away from the top five and the playoff zone. Meanwhile, Saint-Étienne occupy 4th place, just four points behind the league leaders, and will be eager to maintain their upward momentum after a recent managerial change that seems to have revitalized the squad.
Guingamp have shown consistency throughout the season, with a record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats in Ligue 2. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, reflecting a balanced but unpredictable side. In their last five outings, they have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.6. Despite this solid run, their recent performances have been less convincing: a 3-1 loss to Montpellier followed by a goalless draw away at Dunkerque, even after playing much of the match with a numerical advantage.
At home, Guingamp remain competitive and difficult to beat, often relying on their attacking rhythm and collective discipline. Their recent head-to-head record against Saint-Étienne is encouraging, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five meetings, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The last encounter between the two sides ended in a thrilling 3-2 victory for Saint-Étienne back in September 2025, a result that Guingamp will be eager to avenge in front of their supporters.
Saint-Étienne approach this fixture with renewed confidence after a 1-0 home win against Montpellier on February 7, marking a positive start under new management. Their season record stands at 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Although their attack has been less prolific in recent weeks—averaging just 0.4 goals scored per match over their last five—they have compensated with defensive solidity, conceding the same low average of 0.4 goals.
The visitors’ recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches, suggesting a team still finding consistency but capable of grinding out results. The victory over Montpellier was particularly significant, not only for the three points but also for the morale boost it provided. Sitting 4th in the table, Saint-Étienne remain firmly in the promotion race, and a positive result in Guingamp could bring them even closer to the top spots.
This matchup promises to be a tight and tactical affair between two sides with contrasting recent trajectories. Guingamp will look to rediscover their winning touch after two matches without victory, while Saint-Étienne aim to build on their recent success and continue their climb up the standings. The home side’s attacking efficiency has been one of their strengths, but their inability to capitalize on chances in the last two games could be a concern. On the other hand, the visitors’ defensive organization and renewed confidence under their new coach might give them the edge in a match that could be decided by fine margins.
Historically, encounters between these two clubs have produced goals, and both teams have shown tendencies toward open play. However, given Saint-Étienne’s recent defensive discipline and Guingamp’s occasional struggles in front of goal, a low-scoring contest cannot be ruled out. The balance of power appears evenly matched, with Guingamp’s home advantage countered by Saint-Étienne’s momentum and resilience.
Considering the current form and statistical balance, this Ligue 2 encounter is expected to be closely contested. Guingamp’s home strength and attacking potential will be tested by Saint-Étienne’s compact defense and renewed confidence. The probability data suggests a 48% chance of a home win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of an away win. With both teams averaging solid defensive numbers but capable of scoring, the match could feature goals from both sides.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Guingamp
Saint-Étienne
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1