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Prediction published on Sep 9, 2026 7:33 PM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Sep 9, 2026 7:33 PM
Häcken welcome Mjällby in an Allsvenskan fixture on September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 at Nordic Wellness Arena. The hosts enter the match in fourth place, while the visitors are 12th. Both teams are seeking a response after failing to win their latest league games, but their recent records are markedly different. Häcken drew 0-0 with GAIS and have collected three victories from their last five matches. Mjällby, meanwhile, suffered a 4-1 defeat against IFK Göteborg and have lost each of their last five. The combination of home advantage, stronger recent results and Mjällby's defensive difficulties gives Häcken an opportunity to return to winning ways, although the balanced head-to-head record suggests the contest should not be treated as a formality.
Häcken come into this match after a goalless draw against GAIS on September 5. That result followed a 3-1 defeat to Vasteras, leaving the hosts without a victory in their last two outings. Nevertheless, their wider five-game sequence remains positive: they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding only 0.8 per match during that period.
The hosts have accumulated 32 points from 20 Allsvenskan fixtures through eight wins, eight draws and four defeats. Their season averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded indicate that their matches have generally offered opportunities at both ends. Half of their points have been earned at home, although four victories from 10 home league games also show that there is room for improvement in front of their own supporters.
Recent defensive results provide Häcken with encouragement before facing a struggling attack. They kept clean sheets in two of their three victories across the last five matches and also shut out GAIS in their latest appearance. The home side have therefore conceded at a much lower rate over their last five games than across the league season as a whole.
Corners have also been a recurring feature of Häcken's league fixtures. More than 7.5 corners were recorded in 26 of their last 28 Allsvenskan matches. In terms of goals, only two of their previous 10 league games finished without a goal, showing that a completely scoreless match has been relatively uncommon in this sample.
Mjällby travel to this fixture following a difficult 4-1 loss against IFK Göteborg on September 7. That was their fifth consecutive defeat, with their last-five record standing at zero wins, zero draws and five losses. During those matches, the visitors averaged only 0.2 goals scored while conceding 2.8 per game, highlighting problems at both ends of the pitch.
The visitors have played 19 Allsvenskan matches this season, registering five wins, five draws and nine defeats. Their broader campaign averages are 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Those season figures are stronger than their most recent numbers, but the decline across the last five games is significant ahead of a trip to face the fourth-placed side.
Mjällby's latest defensive display continued a concerning sequence. The 4-1 defeat was their ninth league loss of the campaign, while the supplied recent-form data shows that they have allowed an average of almost three goals per game over their last five appearances. Their attacking return in the same period has been limited to an average of 0.2 goals, so producing a more effective performance in the final third will be essential if they are to challenge Häcken.
There is also a notable first-half trend attached to the visitors. At least one team failed to score before the interval in 38 of Mjällby's last 40 matches. This does not necessarily mean that every first half was goalless, but it does show that first-half goals from both sides have been highly unusual in their recent fixtures.
The recent evidence places Häcken in the stronger position. Their last five matches have brought three wins and an average of just 0.8 goals conceded, while Mjällby have lost all five of their games in the same period. The contrast is especially clear in attack: Häcken averaged 1.4 goals per match across that sequence, compared with only 0.2 for the visitors.
The season statistics create a slightly more balanced picture. Häcken have conceded 1.5 goals per league match and Mjällby have scored 1.3 on average, so the visitors' current attacking struggles are more severe than their campaign-wide output. Meanwhile, Mjällby's season average of 1.7 goals conceded gives the home side a realistic platform to create chances, particularly after the visitors allowed four goals in their latest outing.
Previous meetings do not show overwhelming dominance by either club. Across the head-to-head summary, Häcken have two wins, one draw and two losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. However, the most recent encounter on May 17, 2026 ended in a 1-0 victory for Häcken. That result offers the hosts a useful reference point, even though the overall five-match record between the teams remains level.
The supplied probabilities underline the competitive nature of the fixture. Häcken are assigned a 47% chance of victory, compared with 25% for a draw and 29% for a Mjällby win. Both Teams To Score is rated at 54%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 52%. Those goal markets are finely balanced, but the clearest factual trend is Mjällby's five-match losing run alongside Häcken's three victories in their last five. With the visitors scoring very little and conceding heavily during that stretch, a home victory is the most coherent conclusion.
Häcken vs Mjällby prediction from BetMines: Häcken win (1) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Häcken
Mjällby
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2