Hajduk Split host Ajax at Stadion Poljud on October 15 as the Europa Conference League main draw begins. Both sides arrive with strong scoring records, although their most recent results differ: Hajduk beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 on October 10, while Ajax drew 1-1 with NEC Nijmegen on the same day. This is their first meeting in more than three decades. Ajax advanced from their 1995 Champions League quarter-final after a 0-0 away draw and a 3-0 home win, but the current fixture brings a fresh test for two teams seeking a positive start to the league phase.

Hajduk Split's Recent Form and Key Stats

Hajduk Split return to a European league phase or group stage for the first time in more than 15 years. Gonzalo Garcia's team have won six of their last seven fixtures, including the recent victory over Dinamo Zagreb. Across their last five matches, Hajduk have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceding 0.8. That recent run gives the home side momentum ahead of Ajax's visit.

In the Europa Conference League, Hajduk's listed record is two wins and two draws, with averages of 3.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their wider results also point to frequent goalmouth action: at least two total goals have been scored in 21 of their last 22 matches, and at least one second-half goal has featured in 20 of those 22 games. Each of Hajduk's last ten matches has had a first-half goal, suggesting their fixtures have rarely taken long to produce a breakthrough.

Home advantage comes with another notable trend. Hajduk have not trailed at half-time in their last 14 home matches, while they have led at the interval in seven of their last ten matches overall. Those figures do not guarantee a fast start against Ajax, but they show why the hosts can approach this European opener with confidence rather than simply relying on their recent full-time results.

Ajax's Recent Form and Key Stats

Ajax arrive having lost only once across all competitions, though back-to-back draws have interrupted their recent progress. Their latest was the 1-1 result against NEC Nijmegen. Over their last five matches, Ajax have taken two wins and two draws alongside one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their attack has remained productive even during a spell in which victories have been less frequent.

The visitors' Europa Conference League figures are particularly striking: five wins and one draw, with averages of 3.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Ajax have scored at least once in each of their last 14 matches, all of which have featured more than 1.5 total goals. Their last seven matches in this competition have each produced more than 3.5 total goals, making the scoring pattern difficult to overlook ahead of the trip to Hajduk.

Ajax also have a record of staying competitive before the interval. They have not trailed at half-time in 32 of their last 34 matches, or in 18 of their last 20 away games. Six of their last ten away matches have seen them lead at half-time. As with Hajduk, each of Ajax's last ten fixtures has featured at least one first-half goal, adding another point of interest to the opening stages of this meeting.

Hajduk Split vs Ajax Match Analysis

The contrast between Hajduk's four wins in five matches and Ajax's two consecutive draws makes recent results only part of the story. Hajduk's home half-time record offers encouragement, while Ajax's unbeaten Europa Conference League record and higher scoring average underline the challenge facing the hosts. The supplied win probabilities give Ajax the largest share at 46%, compared with 30% for Hajduk and 24% for the draw, but neither team's attacking figures suggest this contest should be assessed on the result market alone.

The goals data offer a clearer shared theme. Hajduk's last 22 matches have almost always featured at least two total goals, while Ajax have reached that mark in 14 straight fixtures. Both teams have also seen first-half goals in each of their last ten games. With Hajduk averaging 3.3 goals scored per Europa Conference League match and Ajax averaging 3.7, there is a substantial factual basis for expecting chances at both ends of this fixture. Whether Ajax extend their strong European scoring run or Hajduk make the most of playing at home, the recent numbers make goals a central focus of this match preview.

Hajduk Split vs Ajax prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 55% probability.