Hamburger SV host Eintracht Frankfurt in the second round of the DFB Pokal on October 27, 2026. The meeting at the Volksparkstadion brings together two teams that lost 1-0 away from home on October 24, but their recent results tell different stories. Hamburg had won four straight matches before their defeat, while Frankfurt have had a less consistent run. Both won their opening cup fixture, so this Hamburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt preview centres on whether the hosts’ recent home form or the visitors’ cup scoring record will carry more weight.

Hamburger SV Recent Form and Key Stats

Hamburger SV arrive after a 1-0 loss to Paderborn ended a four-match winning streak. Across their last five games, they have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per match. That record gives them a stronger recent return than Frankfurt, although their latest outing showed that goals are not guaranteed.

Home results offer Hamburg another source of encouragement: they have won their last three matches at their own ground. In their first DFB Pokal game of the season, they won while averaging three goals scored and none conceded across their one cup appearance. The wider six-match picture has been more measured, with an average of 2.83 total goals per game; four of those six fixtures finished with fewer than 3.5 goals.

Hamburg will be without midfielder Nicolai Remberg, who sustained a cruciate ligament injury. In attack, the goals have not depended on a single player: Yussuf Poulsen, Albert Grönbaek and Miro Muheim are each credited with two. That spread gives the hosts several named contributors to look to as they try to respond to the Paderborn defeat.

Eintracht Frankfurt Recent Form and Key Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt also come into the tie following a narrow away loss, having been beaten 1-0 by Borussia Dortmund. Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Compared with Hamburg’s recent five-game figures, Frankfurt have scored slightly less and allowed more.

The visitors’ DFB Pokal numbers present a different angle. They won their opening game of this season’s competition, scoring 11 goals without conceding. Across a longer cup sequence, their last 21 DFB Pokal matches have all featured more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 15 away fixtures in the competition. Frankfurt have not drawn any of those 15 cup away games, and 20 of their last 21 DFB Pokal matches have also ended with a winner.

Those cup trends sit alongside some less prolific recent results: Frankfurt’s last two matches produced just one goal conceded in total, and neither of their last three games saw both teams score. Younes Ebnoutalib, Jonathan Burkardt and Can Uzun are the attacking trio highlighted among the visitors’ goalscorers. Jessic Ngankam cannot travel to Hamburg.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt Match Analysis

There is no clear favourite in the supplied win probabilities: Hamburg stand at 41%, Frankfurt at 40% and the draw at 19%. Hamburg’s four wins in five games and three consecutive home victories strengthen their case, but Frankfurt’s long run of cup away matches without a draw suggests the visitors are accustomed to decisive results in this competition.

The head-to-head record adds a reason for caution. The clubs have met 110 times, and each of their last 11 direct meetings featured fewer than 3.5 goals. Hamburg’s five-match head-to-head summary against Frankfurt reads one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 1-2 on May 2, 2026. Hamburg have not recorded a home win over Frankfurt since 2011, although they did secure an away victory against them in May.

For this DFB Pokal tie, the central question is how to weigh those restrained head-to-head scores against Frankfurt’s much higher-scoring cup record. Both sides were shut out in their latest league games, yet Frankfurt’s last 21 cup appearances have all cleared 1.5 total goals, and the supplied over-2.5-goals probability is 71%. A match with at least three goals would still fit the under-3.5 pattern seen in the last 11 meetings, making that the goals angle most consistent with the broader cup figures without dismissing the history between these teams.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 71% probability.