The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both sides still having something to play for as the season nears its conclusion. The home team has already secured safety, while the visitors are pushing to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table. With both teams showing a tendency to score and concede regularly, fans can expect a lively contest full of attacking intent and open play.

Hamburger SV’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Hamburger SV approach this fixture in solid spirits after a 1-2 away win against Eintracht Frankfurt on May 2, 2026. That result ended a short winless run and confirmed their place in the Bundesliga for another season. Over the last five matches, the team has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their overall season record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Defensively, the side has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 12 Bundesliga outings. However, their attacking line has been consistent, finding the net in nearly every recent game. The home ground has often witnessed entertaining matches, with 12 of their 16 home fixtures this season featuring goals from both sides. In addition, over 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 15 league matches, underlining their attacking approach and the open nature of their games.

• Bundesliga ranking: 12th place


• Season record: 8W – 10D – 14L


• Average goals per match: 1.1 scored, 1.6 conceded


• At least one goal conceded in the last 12 league matches


• Over 7.5 corners in the last 15 Bundesliga games

Despite their defensive issues, the team’s resilience and offensive balance have allowed them to remain competitive. Their recent performances suggest that they will look to attack from the start, especially in front of their home supporters.

SC Freiburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats

SC Freiburg arrive in Hamburg after a morale-boosting 3-1 victory over Sporting Braga on May 7, 2026, a result that secured their place in the Europa League final. In the Bundesliga, however, their form has been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game during that stretch. Over the course of the season, Freiburg’s record stands at 12 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.

One of the most notable trends for Freiburg is their tendency to produce high-scoring games. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 13 matches, and the same pattern holds for their last 11 away fixtures. The team has also shown strong first-half resilience, having avoided defeat at halftime in 35 of their last 39 matches. However, their away record remains a concern, with 9 defeats on the road this season and 32 goals conceded away from home — an average of two per match.

• Bundesliga ranking: 7th place


• Season record: 12W – 8D – 12L


• Average goals per match: 1.4 scored, 1.7 conceded


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half of the last 13 matches


• Haven’t lost at halftime in 35 of their last 39 games

Freiburg’s attacking play is often orchestrated through Vincenzo Grifo, a key figure in midfield who has contributed to several goals this season and remains a threat from set pieces. Despite their inconsistency in the league, the visitors’ offensive potential makes them a dangerous opponent, especially against a side like Hamburg that tends to leave space at the back.

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Analysis and Prediction

Historically, this fixture has produced balanced outcomes, with the last head-to-head ending 2-1 in favor of Hamburg on January 10, 2026. Across their recent meetings, Hamburg have won once, drawn once, and lost three times, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Both teams have shown a clear pattern of matches featuring goals at both ends, and their current form suggests that trend could continue.

Hamburg’s home advantage and attacking consistency make them a threat, but Freiburg’s offensive quality and recent European success add unpredictability to the contest. Given that both sides have defensive vulnerabilities and a strong scoring record, a high-tempo match with multiple goal opportunities is expected. The statistical indicators — including the fact that 10 of Hamburg’s last 11 games featured goals for both sides — further support this outlook.

In terms of probabilities, the win chances stand at 39% for Hamburg, 26% for a draw, and 35% for Freiburg. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is 57%, while the Over 2.5 goals market sits at 53%. These figures align with the general expectation of an open, attacking game where neither defense is likely to hold firm for long.

Considering all these elements — recent form, scoring patterns, and statistical trends — the most logical prediction points toward another match where both teams find the net. Hamburg’s home scoring consistency and Freiburg’s attacking momentum make this outcome the most probable scenario.

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.