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Prediction published on Jul 21, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jul 21, 2026 5:02 PM
The UEFA Europa League second qualifying round brings an intriguing clash between Hammarby IF and Anderlecht. The Swedish side will host the first leg in Stockholm, aiming to extend their impressive domestic form into European competition. For the visitors, this marks the beginning of their continental journey, and they will be eager to make a strong start despite recent struggles away from home in Europe. With both teams showing attacking intent in their recent outings, this encounter promises to be an open and entertaining affair.
Hammarby approach this fixture in excellent shape, having recorded a commanding 4-0 victory over Degerfors on July 19, 2026. That result extended their winning streak to four consecutive matches, all of which saw them score at least twice. Over their last five games, they have collected four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. This attacking consistency has been a hallmark of their recent performances, particularly at home, where they have found the net in each of their last 17 fixtures.
Supporters at their home ground have been treated to lively second halves, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 18 home matches. In fact, 33 of their last 34 overall fixtures have featured at least one goal in the second half, underlining their ability to maintain offensive pressure throughout the game. Ranked first in the Europa League standings at this stage, Hammarby will look to capitalize on their momentum and secure a first-leg advantage before traveling for the return match.
Anderlecht enter this tie after a series of mixed results in their recent outings. Their most recent victory came in a 3-2 win against NEC Nijmegen on July 11, 2026. Over their last five matches, the Belgian side have registered two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. While their attack has shown promise, defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 matches.
Entertainment has been guaranteed in Anderlecht’s recent fixtures, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 12 games. Both teams have found the net in the second half in their last four matches, suggesting that their games often open up after the interval. However, their away form in European competitions has been less encouraging, having lost at half time in their last three Europa League trips. Despite these challenges, Anderlecht’s attacking potential ensures they remain a threat, especially if they can exploit Hammarby’s defensive gaps.
This first-leg encounter is expected to be a dynamic and high-tempo affair. Hammarby will rely on their home advantage and attacking rhythm to dictate the pace, while Anderlecht will aim to counter with their technical play and experience in European competitions. Both sides have shown a tendency to produce goal-heavy matches, and the statistical trends strongly suggest another open contest.
Given that both teams have been involved in fixtures with multiple goals and that neither side has kept many clean sheets recently, the likelihood of a high-scoring game is significant. Hammarby’s strong home record and Anderlecht’s attacking approach could combine to deliver an entertaining spectacle for neutral fans and bettors alike.
According to the available data, the win probabilities stand at Hammarby 68%, Draw 19%, and Anderlecht 13%. The Over 2.5 goals market shows a 58% probability, while Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 47%. These figures align with the expectation of an open, attacking match where goals are likely to flow.
Hammarby vs Anderlecht prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hammarby
Anderlecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
7
3
8
2