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Hapoel Be'er Sheva
5:30 PM
July 29, 2026
Víkingur Reykjavík
Prediction published on Jul 27, 2026 6:09 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Jul 27, 2026 6:09 PM
Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Víkingur Reykjavík meet on July 29, 2026, with the Icelandic side holding a 2-1 advantage from the first leg of their Champions League qualifying tie. Although Hapoel Be'er Sheva are designated as the home team, security regulations and regional conflict risks mean the match will take place in neighbouring Hungary, denying them their usual home surroundings. The opening encounter produced three goals, while the wider statistics point towards another eventful contest: both clubs have regularly featured in matches with goals, particularly after half time. Hapoel Be'er Sheva must overturn the deficit, whereas Víkingur Reykjavík arrive with positive momentum after following their first-leg success with a commanding domestic victory.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva enter the return match under pressure after losing 2-1 to Víkingur Reykjavík on July 21. Kings Kangwa scored their only goal early in the second half, but the team generated just five attempts, with two hitting the target, and won only one corner. Those figures underline the need for a more sustained attacking performance as they attempt to recover from a one-goal deficit.
The first-leg defeat continued a difficult competitive sequence for the Camels. They had also suffered a 3-1 loss against Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Super Cup and are winless across their last four competitive fixtures in all competitions. Their broader five-match record stands at one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. In this Champions League campaign, their record is one defeat from one match, averaging one goal for and two against.
There are nevertheless attacking trends that offer encouragement. Hapoel Be'er Sheva have scored at least once in 22 of their last 23 matches, including each of their previous 12 home fixtures. Their last 12 home games have all produced over 1.5 total goals, while every one of those matches has also contained at least one first-half goal. However, the switch to Hungary means those home statistics must be considered alongside the absence of their normal home advantage.
The timing data is particularly notable. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in each of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 15 matches. They have also avoided trailing at half time in 38 of their previous 40 games and in 20 of their last 21 home fixtures. In addition, they have led at the interval in nine of their last 12 home matches. A strong opening could therefore be important, but the requirement to overturn the aggregate score may keep the pressure high throughout the contest.
Víkingur Reykjavík travel with a narrow lead after making effective use of their home setting in the first leg. Nikolaj Hansen was the decisive figure, scoring both goals in the 2-1 victory. Víkingur Reykjavík registered 51% possession, 13 attempts and six shots on target, producing considerably more attacking volume than their opponents.
The Vikes reinforced that result by defeating Keflavík 5-1 on July 24. That emphatic win was their fourth victory in six matches across all competitions, with the other two results consisting of one draw and one defeat. Across their latest five games, they have collected three wins, one draw and one loss, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.2 per match. Their Champions League record is also positive: two wins and one draw from three fixtures, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and one conceded.
Víkingur Reykjavík's longer-term results show a side that has been difficult to beat. They have avoided defeat in 30 of their last 32 matches and have not drawn in 20 of the previous 21. Their scoring record is another major feature, as they have found the net in 31 of their last 32 games. Furthermore, 30 of their last 31 matches have finished with over 1.5 total goals.
Away fixtures have followed a similarly lively pattern. Each of their last 16 away matches has produced more than 1.5 total goals, while at least one second-half goal has occurred in all of their previous 21 away games. More specifically, 19 of their last 21 away fixtures have contained over 1.5 second-half goals. One concern is that Víkingur Reykjavík have been behind at half time in each of their last three Champions League away matches, although they have avoided trailing at the break in 19 of their last 21 games overall.
The second leg begins with a clear contrast in objectives. Hapoel Be'er Sheva must chase a turnaround after the 2-1 first-leg defeat, but they will have to do so without the familiar conditions normally associated with a home fixture. Their recent defensive numbers are a concern, particularly an average of 2.4 goals conceded across the last five matches, yet their record of scoring in 22 of 23 games suggests they have regularly produced an attacking response.
Víkingur Reykjavík can approach the match with an aggregate advantage, strong recent form and the confidence generated by consecutive victories over Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Keflavík. Hansen's first-leg contribution gave them control of the tie, while their 13 shots and six efforts on target showed that the victory was supported by meaningful attacking production. Even so, their defensive record is not flawless: they have kept only one clean sheet in their last seven matches across all competitions.
The statistical profile points to the second half as a potentially decisive period. Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 15 matches and Víkingur Reykjavík's last 23 have all featured at least one goal after the interval. With the designated hosts needing to erase the deficit and the visitors carrying a consistent scoring record, the balance of the tie could change quickly if either side converts an early opportunity. The first leg demonstrated that both teams can score in this matchup, but the return fixture will ultimately be shaped by whether Hapoel Be'er Sheva can improve their chance creation and whether Víkingur Reykjavík can protect their advantage away from their usual surroundings.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Víkingur Reykjavík
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
2
8
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
7
3
6
4