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Hapoel Tel Aviv
6:00 PM
August 27, 2026
Atalanta
Prediction published on Aug 25, 2026 6:12 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 25, 2026 6:12 PM
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta meet on August 27, 2026, in the second leg of their Europa Conference League contest. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time at DVTK Borsodi Stadion in Miskolc, with the fixture being played at a neutral venue. The opening match ended 0-0 on August 20, leaving the teams level after a closely contested first encounter. Atalanta enter the return game after a 2-1 victory over Sassuolo, while Hapoel have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five matches. With no advantage established in the first leg, this rematch provides both sides with another opportunity to impose themselves.
Hapoel Tel Aviv have produced a balanced sequence of results in their five most recent matches, collecting two victories and two draws alongside one defeat. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game during that period. Those numbers point to a side capable of competing consistently, although the goalless first leg showed how difficult it can be to create decisive openings against Atalanta.
Their Europa Conference League figures follow a similar pattern. Hapoel have registered two wins, two draws and one loss, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 0.8 per match. They are listed second in the competition ranking supplied for this fixture, behind first-placed Atalanta. The defensive average is encouraging, particularly after Hapoel kept a clean sheet in the opening meeting.
Hapoel have also avoided being behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 home matches. Although this return leg is taking place at a neutral venue rather than under normal home conditions, that sequence still illustrates their ability to remain competitive through the opening period. Meanwhile, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their previous 20 home fixtures, suggesting that their games have often opened up after the interval.
The Reds have won only one of their last three games, according to the supplied match context. That success came against Kiryat Shmona after the opposition received a red card in the 30th minute. Hapoel remained scoreless for another hour against ten players before finding an equaliser and a winning goal after the 90th minute. The late turnaround demonstrated persistence, but the long wait for a breakthrough also highlights the attacking challenge they could face against an Atalanta side conceding only 0.6 goals per match across its latest five outings.
Atalanta approach the second leg with three victories, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game while allowing only 0.6, giving them a stronger recent defensive average than their opponents. Their latest result was a 2-1 win against Sassuolo on August 23, a response that followed the 0-0 draw with Hapoel three days earlier.
The first leg was Maurizio Sarri’s opening game in charge of a team still adjusting to his work. Atalanta could not turn their possession of Serie A quality into a goal on that occasion, but the subsequent victory over Sassuolo provided a more productive result before this return fixture. Gianluca Scamacca and Nicola Zalewski are among the players explicitly identified as leading figures within the squad.
Atalanta are a Serie A side and won the Europa League two years ago, giving them notable recent European pedigree within the context supplied for this match. Their current Europa Conference League record consists of one draw from one game, with averages of 0.0 for both goals scored and conceded because their only match in the competition was the goalless first leg.
Their broader away pattern contrasts with that opening result: over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of Atalanta’s last 11 away matches. In addition, only two of their previous ten games have finished with under 0.5 total goals. At the same time, at least one team failed to score before half-time in 38 of Atalanta’s last 40 matches. These trends describe contests that frequently produce goals overall but often feature a controlled or one-sided scoring pattern during the first half.
The central question is whether Hapoel can reproduce the defensive resistance that earned them a 0-0 draw on August 20. Their Europa Conference League average of only 0.8 goals conceded supports the possibility of another disciplined performance. However, they now face an Atalanta team coming off a 2-1 win and carrying the better recent record, with three victories in five matches compared with Hapoel’s two.
The available goal probabilities indicate a finely balanced scoring outlook. Under 2.5 goals is assessed at 53%, compared with 47% for over 2.5, while the both-teams-to-score split is exactly 50% for both Yes and No. Those figures are consistent with the tension between the goalless head-to-head meeting and Atalanta’s run of 11 away matches containing more than 1.5 total goals. The first leg offers direct evidence of a tight contest, but the visitors’ recent scoring return against Sassuolo suggests they may present a sharper attacking threat this time.
Hapoel’s record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 18 of 20 home games and Atalanta’s sequence of at least one team not scoring before the break in 38 of 40 matches both point towards an important opening phase. Patience could therefore be significant, especially after the teams produced no goals across the entire first meeting. If the return match follows Hapoel’s historical pattern, the second half may become more eventful, as 18 of their last 20 home fixtures have contained a goal after the interval.
Overall, the comparison leans towards Atalanta. They have the stronger five-match record, the lower recent goals-conceded average and a fresh 2-1 victory behind them. The supplied win probabilities also make the visitors the leading outcome at 45%, ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv at 29% and the draw at 26%. Hapoel’s organisation and first-leg clean sheet deserve respect, but Atalanta’s recent form, Serie A status and European pedigree provide the clearest factual basis for the final assessment.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta prediction from BetMines: Atalanta win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2