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Hapoel Tel Aviv
6:00 PM
August 6, 2026
Katowice
Prediction published on Aug 4, 2026 6:08 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 4, 2026 6:08 PM
Hapoel Tel Aviv and GKS Katowice meet on Thursday evening in the first leg of their Conference League qualifying tie. Both clubs advanced from the previous round after competitive two-leg contests, with Hapoel overcoming Ludogorets 4-2 on aggregate and Katowice defeating Zilina 4-3. The hosts enter the fixture unbeaten across their last five matches, while the visitors arrive after recording their first league victory of the season. The opening leg offers both teams an opportunity to establish an advantage, but their contrasting recent records at home and away could prove particularly important. Hapoel have won seven of their previous 10 home games in all competitions, whereas Katowice have gone eight consecutive away matches without a victory.
Hapoel Tel Aviv secured their place in this round by eliminating Ludogorets. They completed a 4-2 aggregate victory after drawing the away leg 2-2 on July 30, with Emmanuel Boateng scoring both of their goals in that match. The result continued a positive sequence for the Red Demons, who have registered two wins and three draws across their last five fixtures. During that period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Their Conference League campaign has so far produced one victory and one draw, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those figures underline the balance Hapoel have shown during the qualifying process: they have carried a consistent attacking threat while limiting the damage at the other end. Their recent home record adds another encouraging element. The hosts have won seven, drawn one and lost only two of their last 10 home games in all competitions, scoring at least twice in all but one of those seven victories.
The timing of goals in their home fixtures also deserves attention. There has been at least one second-half goal in 19 of Hapoel Tel Aviv’s last 20 home matches. At the same time, 19 of their previous 21 games have featured fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. Hapoel have also avoided being behind at half time in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. Together, these trends point to a side that frequently stays competitive through the opening period before games become more eventful after the interval.
Hapoel are seeking to qualify for European competition for the first time since their participation in the 2012-13 Europa League. Their progress against Ludogorets, current five-match unbeaten sequence and strong record at home provide a positive platform for this first leg. Maintaining the defensive standards reflected in their recent average of 0.8 goals conceded will be important against opponents who have scored regularly over their latest five fixtures.
GKS Katowice returned to European competition after an absence of more than three decades, having earned their qualifying place by finishing fifth in the Ekstraklasa last season. Their campaign nearly ended in the previous round, but they recovered from a 2-1 deficit against Zilina to advance 4-3 on aggregate. That comeback demonstrated their ability to respond when a tie moves against them.
Katowice followed their European success with a 3-1 league victory over Radomiak Radom on August 2, their first league win of the season. Their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per fixture. In Conference League qualifying, their record stands at one win and one loss, while they have averaged 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against.
Those numbers suggest that Katowice can contribute in attack, but their defensive return has been less secure than Hapoel’s recent record. Their greatest concern ahead of the trip is their form away from home. The visitors have failed to win any of their last eight away matches in all competitions, a sequence dating back to mid-March. That run places additional importance on their ability to remain organised and avoid allowing the hosts to build momentum.
Nevertheless, the turnaround against Zilina and the subsequent win over Radomiak Radom give Katowice positive results to carry into the first leg. With 1.8 goals scored per game across their latest five outings, they have shown enough attacking output to challenge Hapoel. The central question is whether they can reproduce that threat on the road while improving on an away sequence that has not produced a victory in eight attempts.
This Conference League qualifier brings together two teams that scored four goals across the previous round. Hapoel Tel Aviv advanced with a two-goal aggregate margin, while Katowice needed to overturn a deficit before winning by a single goal overall. Both therefore arrive with evidence of attacking capability, although the hosts have paired their scoring with the stronger recent defensive average.
The home-and-away contrast is one of the clearest themes surrounding the fixture. Hapoel have collected seven victories from their last 10 matches at home and have regularly scored two or more goals when winning there. Katowice, by comparison, remain without an away success across eight consecutive games. The visitors’ recent 3-1 league win may improve confidence, but the challenge is to transfer that performance into a setting where Hapoel have repeatedly produced positive results.
The first half could be more controlled than the later stages. Hapoel’s matches have stayed below 1.5 first-half goals in 19 of the last 21 cases, and the Red Demons have rarely trailed at the interval in recent home games. However, the second-half record shows that these fixtures often open up after the break, with at least one goal after half time in 19 of their last 20 home appearances.
Hapoel’s unbeaten five-match run and lower recent concession rate give them a solid foundation, but Katowice’s comeback in the previous round means the visitors cannot be dismissed if they fall behind. With the return leg still to come, the opening contest is likely to revolve around Hapoel attempting to make their home strength count while Katowice seek to end their prolonged wait for an away victory and keep the tie within reach.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Katowice
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1