Two matches split into 180 minutes will determine who will join Frosinone and Genoa in the top tier. The first leg will take place at the Sardegna Arena in Cagliari, this Thursday, June 8, while the return leg will be staged at the San Nicola stadium in Bari, on Sunday, June 11.

The sum of the goals in both matches will decide the promotion. In case of a tie, the regulations stipulate that the team better ranked during the regular season will be promoted to Serie A, bypassing any need for extra time or penalty kicks. In this case, due to their third place in the standings, Bari would clinch the Serie A ticket.

Cagliari, led by Claudio Ranieri, reached the final after defeating Venezia 2-1 in the preliminary round and overcoming Parma in the two-legged semi-final after an incredible comeback from 0-2 down to 3-2 in Sardinia, followed by a 0-0 draw in the return leg at Tardini.

Cagliari is in excellent form, with four victories and one draw in their last five games, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceding 0.8.

In this Serie B season, Cagliari has achieved 17 victories, 8 losses and 16 draws, with an average of 1.34 goals scored per match and 0.9 conceded. T

he Sardegna Arena has become a real fortress for Mister Ranieri's team, as evidenced by the 17 consecutive home matches without defeat in Serie B. More broadly, Cagliari has won 6 of their last 7 Serie B matches.

Bari earned their place in the final after an intense challenge against Südtirol. Despite the 1-0 loss in Bolzano, the biancorossi managed to overturn the result in the return match, winning 1-0 thanks to the decisive goal from Leonardo Benedetti, despite being a man down. Benedetti's goal, which established the 1-1 result considering the two-legged challenge, was enough to guarantee Bari's final due to a better placement in the standings.

Bari 1908, on the other hand, in their last five matches, registered two victories, two losses and a draw, with an average of 1.2 goals per match both scored and conceded.

In this Serie B season, Bari achieved 18 victories, 8 losses and 14 draws, scoring an average of 1.48 goals per match and conceding 0.95. These numbers show a balance between attack and defence that could be crucial in key matches.

An interesting fact about Bari's away games: in 16 of the last 18, fewer than 3.5 total goals were scored.

Cagliari, given their lower position in the standings compared to Bari, must seek to win this first leg at the Sardegna Arena, which has proved to be a real fortress this season.

BetMines predicts a Cagliari victory with a probability of 52%.