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Hearts
6:45 PM
August 13, 2026
Benfica
Prediction published on Aug 12, 2026 3:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Aug 12, 2026 3:02 AM
Hearts welcome Benfica on August 13, 2026, for the return leg of their Europa League third qualifying-round tie. The Portuguese side hold a commanding 6-1 aggregate advantage after a dominant first meeting on August 6, leaving the hosts with an enormous deficit to overturn. Hearts can at least approach the contest with renewed confidence after beating Dundee United 4-0, while Benfica arrive following a 2-2 draw against Academico Viseu. Although the overall score places the visitors in a powerful position, both teams have regularly been involved in matches featuring goals. Hearts have scored in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures, whereas Benfica have found the net in each of their previous 17 matches.
Hearts experienced a difficult first leg, conceding six times and scoring their only goal through Tom Renaud after the contest had already moved firmly in Benfica’s direction. The Scottish side then responded positively by recording a 4-0 victory over Dundee United on August 9. That result provides encouragement ahead of the return fixture, even if the scale of the aggregate deficit means that a place in the next round is now extremely difficult to reach.
The hosts have collected two wins and suffered three defeats across their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their Europa League record stands at one defeat from one match, with averages of one goal scored and six allowed. Those figures underline the damage caused by the opening leg, but their broader home record presents a more positive picture.
Hearts have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home matches, demonstrating that they can be much more competitive in familiar surroundings. They have also scored at least once in 19 of those 20 home games. That sequence gives them a reasonable foundation from which to pursue a response, even though merely winning this match would not necessarily be enough to transform the tie.
The hosts have not been behind at half time in 18 of their previous 20 home fixtures. In addition, each of their last 12 matches has produced more than 1.5 total goals, while over 7.5 corners have been recorded in their last 19 games. Hearts therefore enter the second leg with home form on their side, but their defensive average over the latest five matches shows that controlling Benfica’s attack will remain a major challenge.
Benfica built their substantial advantage with an emphatic performance in the first leg. Their campaign has not been entirely smooth, however. They began with a 2-1 away defeat against St. Gallen in the previous qualifying round before reversing that result through a 5-0 home victory. After defeating Hearts 6-1, they were held to a 2-2 draw by Academico Viseu on August 9.
The visitors have three wins, one draw and one defeat from their latest five matches. During that period, they have averaged an impressive 3.8 goals scored and only 1.2 conceded per game. Their Europa League statistics show two victories and one defeat, with averages of four goals scored and one conceded. These numbers highlight the attacking strength that was evident during the first encounter.
Benfica’s scoring record is particularly notable. They have registered at least one goal in each of their last 17 matches, and all 17 of those games have finished with more than 1.5 total goals. Their previous nine fixtures have also produced over 2.5 goals. Even with such strong offensive output, the original campaign sequence shows only one clean sheet across their opening four matches, while they conceded more than once in two of those games. This suggests that their attacking production has been more consistent than their defensive control.
There are also clear first-half patterns surrounding the visitors. Benfica have been level at half time in each of their last six Europa League away matches, although they have led at the interval in their three most recent games overall. They have avoided a half-time deficit in 23 of the last 25 fixtures. Meanwhile, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their previous 20 matches, and more than 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 away games.
The central feature of this Europa League preview is the 6-1 aggregate score. Benfica do not need to chase the match in the same way as Hearts, while the hosts must produce an extraordinary turnaround to threaten the visitors’ place in the next round. That contrast could influence the rhythm of the second leg: Hearts have reason to play positively in front of their home support, whereas Benfica can manage the advantage already established.
There is still evidence that the Scottish side can make the return fixture competitive. Hearts followed the heavy first-leg defeat with four unanswered goals against Dundee United, and their long home sequence includes 19 matches without defeat from the last 20. Their scoring record at home is equally encouraging. Finding a goal has rarely been the problem in that sample; the more demanding task will be limiting a Benfica team that has scored in 17 consecutive fixtures.
For Benfica, the priority is to protect a commanding lead without losing the attacking sharpness that has produced an average of 3.8 goals across their last five games. Their 2-2 domestic draw after the first leg also serves as a reminder that opponents have found opportunities against them. Hearts’ recent home scoring sequence means another clean sheet cannot be treated as automatic, despite the visitors’ overwhelming position in the tie.
The available trends point toward an open contest with meaningful activity after the interval. More than 1.5 goals has landed in the last 12 Hearts matches and the last 17 Benfica games, while Benfica’s previous nine fixtures have all moved beyond 2.5 total goals. Both clubs also carry extended runs of matches with over 7.5 corners. Benfica begin the night with complete control of the qualification picture, but Hearts’ home resilience and immediate response against Dundee United give the hosts an opportunity to deliver a far stronger showing than they managed in the first leg.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hearts
Benfica
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
1
9
3.5
6
4
3
7
4.5
9
1
7
3