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Prediction published on Sep 4, 2026 9:35 AM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Sep 4, 2026 9:35 AM
Hearts welcome Dundee to Tynecastle Park on Sunday, September 6, for a Scottish Premiership fixture scheduled to kick off at 14:00 local time. The home side enter matchday six in strong form after winning three consecutive league games, while Dundee are looking to return to winning ways following a midweek draw. Hearts begin the contest third in the Premiership, with Dundee two places behind them in fifth. The recent numbers suggest an entertaining encounter: Hearts have scored consistently at home, matches involving both clubs regularly produce second-half goals, and every one of Hearts’ last 18 games has featured more than 1.5 total goals. Home advantage may prove decisive, however, given the hosts’ long unbeaten league sequence at Tynecastle Park.
Hearts strengthened their position with a 3-1 away victory over Hibernian on September 3. Joshua McPake was among the scorers in that match, taking his season total to two goals. The result extended Hearts’ Premiership winning sequence to three games, during which they scored nine times and conceded in two of the three fixtures.
The broader form line is also positive. Hearts are unbeaten across their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws while averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their Premiership record stands at three victories and one defeat, with league averages of 2.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Those figures underline the attacking momentum carried into this home assignment.
Results at Tynecastle Park provide another significant source of encouragement. Hearts have avoided defeat in their last 16 home Premiership matches and have won their previous nine league games at the venue. Looking across all competitions, they have remained unbeaten in 20 of their last 21 home fixtures. They have also scored at least once in 20 of those 21 games, including each of their last 16 league matches at home.
The scoring trends surrounding Hearts are particularly consistent. They have found the net in each of their previous 12 Premiership fixtures, while their last 11 league games have all produced more than 1.5 total goals. A second-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 13 matches and in their previous 10 home fixtures. Hearts have also been ahead at half-time in four consecutive Premiership games, including each of the last three played at home.
Dundee travel to Edinburgh after drawing 1-1 with St. Johnstone on September 2. That result extended their league run without a victory to two matches, although it also continued their sequence of scoring in four consecutive Premiership games. The visitors therefore arrive with a recent attacking record that gives them reason to believe they can contribute to the scoreline.
Across their last five matches, Dundee have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and the same number conceded during that period. Their Premiership campaign has produced two victories, one draw and two losses, with averages of 1.2 goals for and 0.8 against per match. Compared with Hearts’ recent scoring output, Dundee’s numbers are more modest, but their league defensive average shows that they have not been conceding heavily.
There is also a clear timing pattern in Dundee’s recent fixtures. Each of their last 13 matches has contained at least one second-half goal, and the same has been true in their previous 12 away games. With Hearts carrying an identical 13-match second-half goal trend, the game could remain active after the interval even if the opening stages are closely contested.
Dundee nevertheless face a demanding challenge against a side with an imposing home sequence. Their recent five-match record has been balanced rather than dominant, and they are confronting opponents who have repeatedly taken control early in league matches. Finding a way to stay competitive before half-time could be important if the visitors are to disrupt Hearts’ winning momentum.
The available form points towards Hearts holding the advantage. They have won three league games in succession, average 2.5 goals per Premiership match and have claimed nine consecutive home league victories. Their record of scoring in 16 straight home Premiership fixtures adds further support to the hosts, while their run of four consecutive half-time leads suggests they have regularly established control early.
Goals should remain part of the match analysis. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in Hearts’ last 18 matches, including their previous 11 Premiership fixtures. Dundee have scored in four successive league games, while both teams’ recent schedules have repeatedly featured second-half goals. The statistical estimates give Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals probabilities of 52%, indicating that both options are possible without being overwhelming.
Set pieces may also be a recurring feature. More than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of Hearts’ last 25 matches, as well as in their previous 18 Premiership games. That long sequence suggests the fixture could again generate regular attacking situations around both penalty areas.
The head-to-head record further strengthens the case for the home team. Hearts have won four of the five listed meetings with Dundee, losing once and drawing none, while averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-0 Hearts victory on March 21, 2026. Combined with their current home form, those results make Hearts the more convincing match-winner. The supplied probabilities assign the hosts a 56% chance of victory, compared with 24% for the draw and 21% for Dundee.
Hearts vs Dundee prediction from BetMines: Hearts win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hearts
Dundee
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1