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Hearts vs SK Rapid Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Europa Conference League 20-08-2026

Hearts

2 - 2

FT

SK Rapid

Tynecastle Park
Manfredas Lukjančukas
overcast clouds 10.87 °C

Prediction published on Aug 18, 2026 11:07 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 18, 2026 11:07 PM

Hearts host SK Rapid in the first leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League play-off on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 at Tynecastle Park in Edinburgh. The Scottish side are attempting to return to the league phase after missing out last season, while the visitors are pursuing a third consecutive appearance in the competition’s main phase. Hearts enter the fixture after a high-scoring domestic cup victory, but their European results have been difficult. SK Rapid, meanwhile, arrive with a perfect competitive record this season and four wins from four Conference League qualifying matches.

Hearts Recent Form and Key Statistics

Hearts earned a place in Champions League qualifying after finishing second in the Scottish Premiership last season, but their campaign ended with a 6-0 aggregate defeat against Sturm Graz. They subsequently dropped into the Europa League, where Benfica defeated them 7-2 on aggregate. Those results left Hearts without a victory across their four European outings this season, recording one draw and three defeats.

Their latest result offered a substantial lift before this play-off. Hearts beat Inverness CT 6-2 on August 16, demonstrating considerable attacking potential. Across their last five matches, the hosts have registered two wins, one draw and two losses, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Those figures underline the open nature of their recent fixtures: Hearts have carried a meaningful scoring threat, but they have also allowed opponents regular opportunities.

Home form provides Hearts with an important source of encouragement. They have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 home matches and have scored at least once in 20 of those 21 fixtures. They have also reached half-time without being behind in 19 of their previous 21 home games. These sequences suggest that SK Rapid face a demanding assignment despite their outstanding run of victories.

The statistical trends point toward another match containing goalmouth action. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of Hearts’ last 14 Europa Conference League matches. In addition, their previous 21 fixtures have all produced more than 7.5 corners. The hosts therefore approach the first leg with strong home numbers and recent attacking momentum, although their four winless European matches remain a significant concern.

SK Rapid Recent Form and Key Statistics

SK Rapid have made a flawless start to their competitive schedule. The Austrian side defeated Paide 2-0 in the second leg of the previous qualifying round, completing a 6-1 aggregate victory. That success preserved their perfect Europa Conference League record of four wins from four, with an average of 3.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in the competition.

The visitors reinforced that form on August 16 by recording an emphatic 8-0 victory over Grazer AK. They have now won all eight of their competitive matches this season, while the broader sequence supplied in the statistics shows nine consecutive victories. SK Rapid have also gone 15 matches without a draw, making their current run especially decisive.

Across their latest five matches, SK Rapid have collected five wins, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game while conceding only 0.4. Their European away scoring record is another notable feature: they have found the net in each of their last 13 away matches in the Europa Conference League. A goal has also been scored during the second half in their previous 11 away games in the competition and in 19 of their last 20 matches overall.

SK Rapid have led at half-time in each of their last three fixtures, giving them another strong trend before the trip to Tynecastle Park. Their combination of consistent victories, high scoring averages and efficient recent defensive numbers explains why the supplied win probabilities give them the largest individual share: 43%, compared with 32% for Hearts and 26% for the draw.

Hearts vs SK Rapid Match Analysis

This first leg brings together two sides with compelling but contrasting indicators. Hearts have struggled to translate their domestic qualities into European results, yet their exceptional home sequence means they cannot be dismissed. Scoring in 20 of 21 home matches is particularly relevant against an SK Rapid team that has conceded an average of one goal per Conference League fixture this season.

At the other end, the visitors possess the stronger recent record. Four straight qualifying victories, eight wins from eight competitive games this season and the 8-0 result against Grazer AK all demonstrate their current attacking output. Hearts’ average of 2.2 goals conceded across their last five matches could leave openings for an SK Rapid side that has averaged 3.4 goals during the same five-match sample.

The goals markets are closely balanced in the supplied probabilities. Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 52%, while both teams to score carries a 55% chance. The case for goals from each side is supported by Hearts’ dependable home scoring sequence and SK Rapid’s run of finding the net in 13 consecutive Conference League away matches. Both teams also arrive after scoring heavily on August 16, with Hearts winning 6-2 and SK Rapid prevailing 8-0.

The opening period could be important because SK Rapid have won at half-time in three successive matches, whereas Hearts have not been behind at the interval in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. That creates an intriguing early contest between the visitors’ fast recent starts and the hosts’ resilience at Tynecastle Park. Over 0.5 first-half goals has a 78% probability, but the wider statistical picture most clearly supports the possibility of each attack making an impact during the match.

Hearts vs SK Rapid prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.

Hearts vs SK Rapid - Predictions

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Hearts vs SK Rapid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Hearts

SK Rapid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

BetMines

Standings of Hearts and SK Rapid in Europa Conference League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

21

Hearts

0

0

0

0

0:0

0

-

-
8th Finals
Play-off

Who will win ?

Hearts vs SK Rapid: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Hearts vs SK Rapid be played?
The Europa Conference League match between Hearts and SK Rapid will be played on August 20, 2026 at 18:45.
Where will Hearts vs SK Rapid be played?
The match between Hearts and SK Rapid will be played at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh - Europe
Who will referee Hearts vs SK Rapid?
The referee for the match will be Manfredas Lukjančukas.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Hearts vs SK Rapid in the Europa Conference League?
The odds are: Hearts to win 2.37, draw 3.60, SK Rapid to win 2.50.
What are the betting odds for Hearts vs SK Rapid for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Europa Conference League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.61 and Under 2.5 at 2.25.
Will both Hearts and SK Rapid score in the Europa Conference League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.57, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.25.
What is the most likely correct score for Hearts vs SK Rapid in the Europa Conference League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.

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