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Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 5:03 PM
Hearts welcome newly promoted St. Johnstone to Tynecastle Park in Edinburgh for a Scottish Premiership fixture on Saturday, August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 local time. The teams enter the contest level on three points after recording one win and one defeat apiece in their first two league matches. Hearts sit fifth and St. Johnstone sixth, but the hosts can draw confidence from an outstanding Premiership record at home and a dominant sequence in this head-to-head matchup. Hearts have won their last eight home league games, while the supplied match information shows that they have also beaten St. Johnstone in each of their previous 10 Premiership meetings. Those trends make this an important early test for a visiting side seeking to recover from defeat in its latest league outing.
Hearts began their Premiership campaign with a narrow 2-1 defeat away to Aberdeen before responding emphatically against Dundee United. A 4-0 home victory in that second league fixture gave the Jam Tarts their first three points of the season and lifted their Premiership averages to 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
The hosts were most recently involved in a 1-1 draw with SK Rapid on August 26. Across their last five matches, Hearts have remained unbeaten, registering two wins and three draws while averaging an impressive 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. That sequence indicates a side producing consistently positive results while carrying a substantial attacking threat.
The strongest element of the home team’s case is its record in front of its own supporters. Hearts have not lost in their last 16 home matches in the Premiership and have won the most recent eight. Expanding the sample beyond league fixtures, they have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 home games. Their scoring consistency has been equally notable: Hearts have found the net in each of their previous 16 home league matches and in 20 of their last 21 home fixtures overall.
There are also clear patterns within Hearts matches. Their previous 16 Premiership games have all produced over 7.5 corners, matching a broader run of 23 consecutive fixtures above that line. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 11 matches, while every one of their previous 16 games has contained more than 1.5 total goals. These figures suggest that the action has regularly continued after the interval rather than fading as matches progress.
St. Johnstone made an entertaining start to their return to the Premiership, defeating Kilmarnock 4-3 in their opening fixture. Their second match brought a different outcome, however, as they were beaten 1-0 away by St. Mirren on August 8. As a result, the visitors have one win and one defeat from two league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
Over their last five matches in all competitions, St. Johnstone have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded during that period. The wider sequence described in the match information shows that the Saints have failed to win three of their previous four cup and league fixtures in regulation time, while their last two outings away from home have both ended in defeat.
The away scoring data also presents a potential concern ahead of a visit to a ground where Hearts have been so reliable. St. Johnstone have failed to score in three of their last 12 away matches. Although their seven-goal opener against Kilmarnock demonstrated that their league fixtures can become open, the subsequent 1-0 loss at St. Mirren showed a contrasting inability to find a goal on the road.
The central question in this Scottish Premiership preview is whether St. Johnstone can disrupt Hearts’ prolonged home dominance. The Jam Tarts have combined an eight-match home winning streak in the league with 16 consecutive unbeaten Premiership fixtures at Tynecastle Park. Their ability to score in all 16 of those games strengthens the argument that the hosts can impose themselves again, particularly against opponents coming off successive away defeats.
Previous meetings provide Hearts with another meaningful advantage. The supplied head-to-head summary gives them five victories, no draws and no defeats in the latest five clashes, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent encounter finished 2-1 to Hearts on May 14, 2025, while the broader information states that the hosts have won the last 10 Premiership meetings between the clubs.
Goals data offers a more balanced picture than the head-to-head results. The probability figures place under 2.5 goals at 52% and over 2.5 at 48%, while both-teams-to-score is split evenly at 50% for both outcomes. However, Hearts’ scoring form at home, their 4-0 victory in their latest Premiership appearance and their average of 2.8 goals across the last five matches all underline the attacking potential available to the home side.
The 1X2 probabilities make Hearts the leading individual outcome at 42%, compared with 27% for the draw and 31% for a St. Johnstone victory. That advantage is not overwhelming in isolation, but it is reinforced by the home and head-to-head sequences. St. Johnstone’s opening win showed that they can contribute offensively, yet their latest away performance ended without a goal. With Hearts consistently scoring at home and repeatedly winning this matchup, the available evidence points toward the Jam Tarts having the stronger platform for victory.
Hearts vs St. Johnstone prediction from BetMines: Hearts win (1) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hearts
St. Johnstone
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2