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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 8:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Lecce at the Bentegodi promises to be a tense encounter between two sides fighting at the bottom of the table. Verona, sitting 19th with just 18 points, have endured a disastrous run of form, losing their last five matches and scoring only once in that period. Lecce, only one place above them with 28 points, are also struggling but still have a chance to secure safety if they can find consistency in the final stretch of the season. Both teams are desperate for points, but their recent performances suggest a tight and low-scoring affair.
Hellas Verona come into this match after a 0-1 defeat against AC Milan on April 19, extending their losing streak to five consecutive games. Their season record in Serie A stands at 3 wins, 9 draws, and 21 losses, with an average of just 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. The team has failed to win at half time in their last 15 league fixtures and has not celebrated a home victory in 19 of their last 20 appearances at the Bentegodi.
Defensive lapses and a lack of attacking precision have been the main issues for Verona. They have scored only one goal in their last five matches, averaging 0.2 per game, while conceding 1.4. Their inability to convert chances is reflected in their league-low 6% conversion rate. Despite these struggles, Verona have shown some resilience at home against Lecce, remaining unbeaten in their last four meetings in this venue. Historically, they have also been strong on the counterattack, registering 50 fast breaks this season, seven of which resulted in goals.
In terms of lineup, Verona are expected to rely on Montipò in goal, with Edmundsson, Nelsson, and Valentini in defense. The midfield could feature Lirola, Akpa Akpro, Gagliardini, and Bradaric, while Belghali and Bernede will support Sarr in attack. Several players remain unavailable, including Bowie, Mosquera, Niasse, Orban, Oyegoke, Serdar, and Suslov, which limits the coach’s tactical options.
Lecce earned a valuable 1-1 draw against Fiorentina on April 20, ending a four-match losing streak. However, their overall form remains concerning, with no wins in their last five matches (1 draw, 4 defeats). They have scored only twice in that period while conceding nine goals. Over the course of the season, Lecce’s record stands at 7 wins, 7 draws, and 19 losses, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
One of Lecce’s biggest weaknesses has been their inefficiency in front of goal, as they have the lowest shot accuracy in Serie A (36%). Their away form is also worrying, with four consecutive defeats on the road. Despite these struggles, Lecce’s matches tend to be tight, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 24 of their last 25 league fixtures. They have also failed to score in the second half in most of their recent games, highlighting their lack of attacking depth and stamina.
For this match, Lecce are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Falcone in goal, Veiga, Siebert, Jean, and Gallo in defense. Ngom and Ramadani should anchor the midfield, while Pierotti, Coulibaly, and Banda will support Cheddira up front. Tiago is suspended, while Berisha, Fofana, Gaspar, and Sottil are unavailable. Gallo, who recently reached a personal record of four assists this season, will be one of the key creative outlets for the visitors.
This fixture brings together two teams struggling for form and confidence. Hellas Verona have been unable to find the net consistently, while Lecce have been equally poor in attack, often failing to create clear chances. Both sides tend to play cautiously, aware that a single mistake could prove decisive. Given their recent head-to-head record — one win each and three draws in the last five meetings — another tight contest seems likely.
Statistically, both teams’ matches have been dominated by low scorelines. Verona’s last ten and Lecce’s last twenty-five Serie A games have all featured fewer than four goals. The combination of Verona’s poor finishing and Lecce’s lack of precision suggests that this encounter could again produce few scoring opportunities. The midfield battle will likely determine the outcome, with both sides relying on defensive organization rather than attacking flair.
Considering the data and recent performances, the most probable scenario is a low-scoring match, with both teams struggling to break the deadlock. A draw would not be surprising, but Lecce’s slightly better attacking record could give them a narrow edge if they capitalize on Verona’s defensive lapses.
Hellas Verona vs Lecce prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
10
0
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1