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Prediction published on Nov 19, 2025 4:51 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 19, 2025 4:51 PM
At the Marcantonio Bentegodi Stadium, on Sunday, November 23, the 12th round Serie A lunch match will feature Hellas Verona vs Parma, two teams involved in the relegation battle. The home side and visitors currently occupy the second-to-last and fourth-to-last positions in the league table, separated by just two points. Hellas Verona, still chasing their first victory of the season, must win this direct clash to overtake Parma and keep their survival hopes alive. Parma, on the other hand, comes into this match on a high after drawing with AC Milan before the international break but now needs to return to winning ways after collecting just three points in the last six matches. For Parma, a win would mean distancing themselves from the relegation zone and increasing the gap on direct rivals, while a defeat would drag them back into the lower reaches of the table. Based on the performances shown so far by both teams, we expect a tactical and hard-fought game rather than a spectacular one, but crucial for understanding each team’s chances of climbing the table and securing Serie A survival.
Hellas Verona continues to experience a very delicate period: after eleven matches, they are still without a win and arrive at the clash with Parma having collected only one point in the last three games. On November 8, they managed a 0-0 draw at Lecce, which at least ended a two-game losing streak against Como and Inter.
The league table, however, remains concerning. The Gialloblù occupy the second-to-last position with 6 points, from 6 draws and 5 defeats, and particularly suffer from a very low-scoring attack: with just 6 goals scored, Hellas has the worst attack in Serie A. Defensive numbers are also unimpressive, with an average of 1.45 goals conceded per match.
Even home advantage has not helped so far: in the five games played at the Bentegodi, they have collected only 3 points, all from draws. Fans are hoping for a change of pace starting with the match against Parma, which could be a turning point for the season.
Paolo Zanetti is expected to confirm the Giovane–Orban partnership up front, who have scored 1 and 2 goals respectively. In midfield, the absence of Serdar will be felt, one of the few capable of creating attacking danger and already with 2 goals in the league.
Parma are also going through a difficult period, coming off six consecutive matches without a win, with a record of three draws and three losses. In the last match, on November 8, the Ducali showed signs of recovery by drawing 2-2 with AC Milan after being two goals down. Among Parma’s key players stands Adrian Bernabé, who scored in the last two matches.
Thanks to this draw, Parma climbed to 17th place with 8 points, from 1 win, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, averaging 0.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per match. The attack remains one of the worst in the league, second only to Verona, but in the last three games the Ducali have managed to score, showing some improvement in front of goal.
Away games remain a weakness: in their first five Serie A away matches, Parma collected only 2 points, from draws against Cremonese and Genoa, scoring just one goal in these games.
Notably, Suzuki, the starting goalkeeper, will miss the match due to injury sustained against AC Milan. Second goalkeeper Corvi will make his debut. On the positive side, forwards Valeri and Ondrejka return, two important pieces for Parma’s attacking play.
Being a direct relegation clash between two struggling teams, we expect a very tactical match, where fear of losing may prevail over spectacle. There are crucial points at stake to keep Serie A survival hopes alive.
BetMines predicts a balanced match: considering Parma’s poor away form and Hellas Verona’s desire to claim their first league win, the recommended bet is Double Chance 1X, meaning a win for the home side or a draw.
Additionally, with the two worst attacks in the league facing each other, it is likely that fewer than three goals will be scored and that at least one team will fail to score. For this reason, the suggested bets are Under 2.5 goals and “at least one team does not score,” both with an estimated probability of 57%.
HELLAS VERONA (3-5-2): Montipò; Bella Kotchap, Nelsson, Valentini; Belghali, Akpa Akpro, Gagliardini, Bernede, Bradaric; Giovane, Orban. Coach: Zanetti
PARMA (3-5-2): Corvi; Delprato, Ndiaye, Valenti; Britschgi, Bernabé, Keita, Sorensen, Valeri; Cutrone, Pellegrino. Coach: Cuesta
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hellas Verona
Parma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
8
2
8
2
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2