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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 22, 2026 7:02 PM
The final round of Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Hellas Verona and Roma at the Bentegodi Stadium. Scheduled for Sunday, May 24, this match carries very different motivations for the two sides. The visitors are chasing a crucial victory that would secure their return to the Champions League after eight years, while the hosts have already been relegated and will simply aim to end their campaign with dignity in front of their supporters.
Hellas Verona approach this final fixture with little more than pride at stake. Their season has been marked by inconsistency and a lack of cutting edge in attack. The team has failed to win in 21 of their last 22 Serie A matches, a run that explains their current 19th place in the standings. In their last five outings, Verona have recorded 3 draws and 2 defeats, scoring an average of just 0.4 goals per game while conceding 0.8.
Despite their struggles, Verona have shown resilience in recent weeks, managing to hold Inter to a 1-1 draw on May 17. Their defensive organization has improved slightly, but the lack of offensive production remains a major issue. Over the course of the season, they have averaged only 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Moreover, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 league fixtures, underlining their tendency toward low-scoring encounters.
At home, Verona’s performances have been equally modest. They have rarely managed to dominate opponents, and in 4 of their last 19 home matches, fewer than 0.5 total goals were scored. Even so, the team has shown determination against stronger sides, recently forcing draws against top teams and losing narrowly to others. This suggests that while their fate is sealed, they remain competitive enough to make life difficult for visiting teams.
Roma arrive in Verona in excellent form and full of confidence. The Giallorossi have won four of their last five matches, drawing the other, and have not lost in this period. Their recent 2-0 victory over Lazio on May 17 further strengthened their position in the top four. Over these five games, Roma have averaged 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, showing both attacking flair and defensive solidity.
Throughout the season, Roma have been one of the most consistent sides in Serie A, currently sitting 4th with a record of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 0.8. The team has found the net in each of their last 16 matches, and in 14 consecutive league games, confirming their offensive reliability. Additionally, they have led at halftime in their last four Serie A fixtures and have not trailed at the break in 19 of their last 21 matches.
Roma’s recent performances have been characterized by efficiency and balance. Their attack has been productive, while their defense has remained compact. The team’s ability to control matches from the start has been a key factor in their current unbeaten streak. With Champions League qualification on the line, motivation will be sky-high, and the visitors are expected to approach this match with full intensity.
Historically, the meetings between Hellas Verona and Roma have been competitive but generally favorable to the capital side. In their last five encounters, Roma have won three times, while Verona have managed two victories. The most recent head-to-head ended 2-0 in favor of Roma on September 28, 2025. Across these matches, Verona have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Given the current form and motivation levels, Roma are clear favorites. Verona’s defense may hold for a while, but their limited attacking output makes it difficult to imagine them breaking down a well-organized opponent. Roma’s recent scoring consistency and strong defensive record suggest a controlled performance, likely focused on securing an early lead and managing the game efficiently.
For Verona, this match represents a farewell to Serie A after six consecutive seasons. They will aim to leave a positive impression, but the difference in quality and momentum between the two sides is significant. Roma’s superior form, combined with their need for three points, makes them the logical choice to dominate proceedings.
Based on the statistical trends and algorithmic probabilities, the most likely outcome for this match is Both Teams To Score – No, with a 57% probability. Roma’s solid defense and Verona’s limited offensive production point toward a match where only one side finds the net. The visitors’ recent form and motivation further reinforce this scenario, making a clean sheet victory for Roma a realistic expectation.
Verona vs Roma prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – No (57% probability)
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hellas Verona
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
1
9
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
7
3