Hellas Verona and Vicenza meet in an eagerly anticipated Serie B derby on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 13:00 at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. The fixture carries added significance because the clubs were separated by two divisions last season, whereas they now face each other in Italy’s second tier. Neither side has made a perfect start to the campaign, and only one point separates them after four league matches. Verona are looking for a response following defeat at Benevento, while Vicenza arrive after earning a draw against Juve Stabia. With the teams sitting next to each other in the standings, this derby offers both an opportunity to improve their early position and a demanding test against a direct rival.

Hellas Verona's Recent Form and Key Stats

Hellas Verona enter the derby in 13th place in Serie B. Their league record stands at one win, one draw and two defeats, showing why their opening weeks have been described as unsatisfactory. The hosts have produced some encouraging performances but have also struggled for consistency while readjusting to the demands of the division after several years in Serie A.

Their latest match ended in a 3-1 defeat against Benevento on September 11, a result that represented Verona’s second loss of the league season. Across their last five matches, the Scaligeri have collected two victories, one draw and two defeats. They averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that sequence, suggesting that their games have included both attacking output and defensive vulnerability.

The season figures follow a similar pattern. Verona are averaging 2.0 goals scored per Serie B match but have also conceded an average of 1.5. Their squad is considered to contain individual quality and players accustomed to Serie A football, yet that experience has not produced consistently convincing results at the beginning of the campaign. The source material also notes fitness concerns affecting some members of the squad, without specifying names.

One notable trend is that more than 0.5 second-half goals have been recorded in Verona’s last 10 matches. This indicates that their recent fixtures have continued to produce action after the interval, whether through goals scored by Verona or by their opponents. However, only 7% of Verona’s last 10 matches went over 2.5 goals, according to the supplied statistics, creating a clear contrast with their broader scoring averages.

Vicenza's Recent Form and Key Stats

Vicenza approach the trip from 12th place, one position and one point above their hosts. Their Serie B record is one victory, two draws and one defeat. Five points from four fixtures represent a steady return to the division, and the visitors have so far lost less frequently than Verona.

Vicenza’s most recent outing was a 1-1 draw with Juve Stabia on September 12. Looking across their last five matches, they have registered two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. That record is slightly more stable than Verona’s recent sequence, although the visitors’ season statistics also reveal areas that require attention.

In Serie B this season, Vicenza have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Their ability to find the net gives them a route into the contest, but the goals conceded figure means Verona may also have opportunities. As with the hosts, however, only 7% of Vicenza’s last 10 matches finished over 2.5 goals, an important statistic when assessing the likely scoring range of this derby.

The visitors are described as having a deep squad strengthened from last season. Moncini, who reached double figures with Bari last year, has started from the bench in favor of Merkaj and Morra. Those options underline the competition available to Vicenza and could become relevant if the match remains tight into its later stages.

Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Match Analysis

The available numbers point towards a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch. Verona have home advantage and are assigned a 44% win probability, compared with 28% for a draw and 28% for a Vicenza victory. Those percentages make the hosts the most likely individual winner, but they also leave a combined 56% probability for an outcome in which Verona do not win.

Current form gives Vicenza reasons for confidence. They have two wins, two draws and only one defeat from their last five matches, while Verona have suffered two losses over the same period. At the same time, the home side’s average of 2.0 goals scored across both their last five fixtures and the current league season means Vicenza cannot rely only on containment.

The goals markets are finely balanced. Both teams to score is rated at 51%, against 49% for at least one side failing to score. Meanwhile, Under 2.5 goals carries a 52% probability, narrowly ahead of the 48% assigned to Over 2.5. The very low Over 2.5 frequency listed for both teams across their respective last 10 matches strengthens the case for a controlled derby in which scoring opportunities may be valuable.

The head-to-head summary from Verona’s perspective contains three wins, no draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 3-2 on May 1, 2017. Although that scoreline was open, it belongs to a much earlier encounter and should be balanced against the current low Over 2.5 trends supplied for both clubs.

Verona’s search for a reaction after the Benevento defeat should add urgency, but Vicenza’s slightly stronger start and deeper range of attacking options make this a difficult assignment for the hosts. Given the narrow gap in the standings, the close probability figures and the recent low-scoring trends, the derby could be decided by a small number of key moments rather than sustained attacking dominance.

Hellas Verona vs Vicenza prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.