Tools
Helmond Sport
1 - 3
FT
ADO Den Haag
Prediction published on Feb 18, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 18, 2026 8:03 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and ADO Den Haag on February 20 promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides at opposite ends of the table. The hosts currently sit in the lower half of the standings, while the visitors lead the division and are pushing strongly for promotion. Despite the gap in ranking, both teams come into this fixture with recent wins that could boost their confidence ahead of kickoff.
Helmond Sport approach this match after a 0-1 away victory against Almere City, a result that ended a mixed run of form. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall season record in the Eerste Divisie stands at 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
At home, Helmond have shown a consistent ability to find the net. They have scored at least once in 20 of their last 21 home fixtures, and in 19 of their last 20 home matches in the Eerste Divisie. The first half often brings action, with over 0.5 goals scored before the break in 20 of their last 21 home games. Additionally, Helmond tend to create lively encounters, as over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home league matches. Their attacking play is often spearheaded by their Polish striker, who has already reached double figures this season.
ADO Den Haag remain the leaders of the Eerste Divisie, boasting an impressive campaign so far with 19 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats. They have averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, underlining their attacking strength and defensive stability. Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-0 home victory over MVV Maastricht, following a 0-3 away win at Roda JC. These results helped them recover from a difficult start to the year, which included a 1-4 home loss to Jong AZ.
On the road, ADO have been particularly reliable. They have scored at least one goal in 25 of their last 27 matches and in 32 of their last 34 league games. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with over 2.5 goals scored in 21 of their last 23 fixtures. The second half often brings plenty of action too, as over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 26 of their last 27 away matches. ADO also tend to start strong, having led at half time in 7 of their last 10 away league games.
In their most recent head-to-head meeting, ADO Den Haag claimed a 2-0 victory on August 29, 2025. Across their last five encounters, Helmond Sport have won three times and lost twice, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Despite this relatively balanced record, the current form and league position suggest that ADO enter this fixture as clear favourites.
Helmond’s home advantage and their ability to score regularly could make this a competitive contest, but ADO’s attacking consistency and strong away record give them the upper hand. The visitors’ matches frequently feature multiple goals, and given both teams’ recent scoring trends, another high-scoring affair could be on the cards.
Considering the statistical trends and current momentum, ADO Den Haag appear well-positioned to extend their lead at the top of the table. Helmond Sport’s defensive vulnerabilities, combined with ADO’s prolific attack, point towards an away win. The likelihood of goals on both sides is also high, as both teams have shown offensive intent in recent weeks.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at 20% for Helmond Sport, 20% for a draw, and 60% for ADO Den Haag. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option has a 62% probability, while Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67%. These figures reinforce the expectation of an open and entertaining match.
Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag prediction from BetMines: ADO Den Haag win (2) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Helmond Sport
ADO Den Haag
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2