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Helmond Sport vs Willem II Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Eerste Divisie 21-12-2025

Helmond Sport

2 - 2

FT

Willem II

SolarUnie Stadion
R. Hensgens
light rain 10.36 °C

Prediction published on Dec 19, 2025 2:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Dec 19, 2025 2:05 PM

The upcoming clash in the Eerste Divisie between Helmond Sport and Willem II promises to be a crucial one for both sides as they look to close out the calendar year on a positive note. Scheduled for Sunday, December 21, this fixture marks the 21st round of the season and could have significant implications for the mid-table standings. With both teams eager to collect valuable points before the winter break, fans can expect a competitive and open encounter.


Helmond Sport’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Helmond Sport currently sit 15th in the Eerste Divisie table, having collected 23 points from 20 matches. Their campaign has been inconsistent, and recent results underline their struggles. In their last five outings, they have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. The most recent setback came in a heavy 4-1 loss against FC Emmen on December 12.


Despite their defensive issues, Helmond Sport have shown attacking intent, especially at home. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 18 home matches, including all 17 played in the Eerste Divisie. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored before half-time in each of their last 20 home fixtures, highlighting their tendency to start games energetically. Their record of winning at half-time in 9 of their last 15 home league matches also suggests they often begin strongly before fading later in games.


Season-long statistics further illustrate their mixed form: 7 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. While their attack has been relatively productive, defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, particularly against stronger opponents. Facing Willem II, a side with promotion ambitions, will be another stern test for their back line.


Willem II’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Willem II enter this fixture placed 8th in the standings with 29 points from 20 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, alternating between solid wins and disappointing defeats. In their last five matches, they have recorded two victories and three losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 1.6 per game. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 1-5 defeat against Sparta Rotterdam on December 18, a result that exposed defensive vulnerabilities.


Over the course of the season, Willem II’s record stands at 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, figures that reflect a balanced but somewhat underwhelming campaign for a team that had hoped to challenge for direct promotion. Their inconsistency has been particularly evident away from home, where they have struggled to maintain momentum after positive results.


One notable trend in Willem II’s matches is the high number of corners. Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 28 of their last 29 games, including 19 of their last 20 in the Eerste Divisie. This statistic suggests that their matches are often open and attack-oriented, with both teams creating numerous opportunities. However, their defensive fragility remains a concern, especially against teams that press aggressively in the early stages, as Helmond Sport tend to do at home.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The recent history between these two sides heavily favors Willem II. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Willem II have won all five, scoring an average of 3 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Willem II on September 30, 2025. This dominance gives the visitors a psychological edge heading into the match.


From a tactical perspective, Helmond Sport will likely rely on their home form and early attacking bursts to unsettle their opponents. Their ability to score in nearly every home match this season could be key to keeping the game competitive. Willem II, on the other hand, will aim to exploit Helmond’s defensive weaknesses, particularly in transitions and set-piece situations. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, an open contest with multiple chances at both ends seems likely.



  • Helmond Sport have scored in each of their last 18 home matches.

  • Willem II have seen over 7.5 corners in 28 of their last 29 games.

  • Both teams average more than one goal per match this season.

  • Helmond Sport’s last five games have produced an average of 3.6 total goals.

  • Willem II’s last five games have produced an average of 2.8 total goals.


Helmond Sport vs Willem II Prediction and Final Analysis


Both teams come into this fixture with fluctuating form and defensive vulnerabilities, which could lead to an entertaining encounter. Helmond Sport’s home scoring streak and Willem II’s attacking potential suggest that goals are likely at both ends. However, Willem II’s superior head-to-head record and overall squad depth make them slight favorites to take all three points.


Helmond Sport will need to tighten up defensively if they are to avoid another defeat, while Willem II must recover quickly from their recent setback against Sparta Rotterdam. Given the trends and statistics, a high-scoring match cannot be ruled out, with both sides capable of finding the net.


BetMines Prediction: Over 2.5 goals with a 62% probability.

Helmond Sport vs Willem II - Predictions

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Helmond Sport vs Willem II: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Helmond Sport

Willem II

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

100%

10

0%

0

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Helmond Sport and Willem II in Eerste Divisie

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Willem II

38

20

8

10

59:42

68

1.79

W
W
W
W
W
18

Helmond Sport

38

10

9

19

42:62

39

1.03

L
D
D
W
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Possible Promotion Play-off

Who will win ?

Helmond Sport vs Willem II: Frequently asked questions

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When will Helmond Sport vs Willem II be played?
The Eerste Divisie match between Helmond Sport and Willem II will be played on December 21, 2025 at 13:30.
Where will Helmond Sport vs Willem II be played?
The match between Helmond Sport and Willem II will be played at SolarUnie Stadion, Helmond - Netherlands
Who will referee Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
The referee for the match will be R. Hensgens.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Helmond Sport vs Willem II in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds are: Helmond Sport to win 2.60, draw 3.60, Willem II to win 2.55.
What are the betting odds for Helmond Sport vs Willem II for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.61 and Under 2.5 at 2.25.
Will both Helmond Sport and Willem II score in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for Helmond Sport vs Willem II in the Eerste Divisie?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Helmond Sport and Willem II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport and Willem II, Helmond Sport won 0 times, Willem II won 5, and 0 ended in a draw.

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