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Helmond Sport
7:00 PM
October 27, 2026
Willem II
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 3:35 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 3:35 PM
Helmond Sport host Willem II in the KNVB Beker on October 27, 2026, with both teams looking for a response to heavy defeats. The match is scheduled for 19:00 local time at SolarUnie Stadion in Helmond. Helmond Sport were beaten 5-4 by Jong AZ in their most recent game, while Willem II lost 6-1 to SC Cambuur. Those scorelines underline the defensive problems each side brings into this cup fixture. Recent matches have also produced goals at both ends, making the ability to limit chances an important part of this Helmond Sport vs Willem II preview.
Helmond Sport arrive without a win in their last five matches, having recorded one draw and four defeats. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded across that run. Their 5-4 loss to Jong AZ on October 23 showed that they can contribute to a high-scoring game, but it also added to a sustained run of matches in which they have struggled to keep opponents out.
The hosts have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 matches. In addition, their last 12 games have all featured more than 1.5 total goals. The Jong AZ defeat was not the only recent setback highlighted by the results: Helmond Sport also lost 2-0 to NAC Breda and 3-1 to TOP Oss. Wins over Jong PSV Eindhoven and VVV-Venlo in September show they have found ways to win, although their five-match record points to a difficult spell since then.
For Helmond Sport, the immediate concern is not simply whether they can score. Their recent average of 1.4 goals per match suggests they have still been contributing in attack, while the 2.8 conceded per game illustrates the challenge at the other end. After shipping five goals against Jong AZ, a steadier defensive performance would give the home side a better chance of making their attacking work count in this KNVB Beker meeting.
Willem II travel to Helmond following five consecutive defeats. Over those five matches, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 3.6 conceded. The latest result was a 1-6 loss to SC Cambuur on October 24, their heaviest defeat of the season according to the supplied match account. That account also notes 5-1 and 1-4 losses to Ajax and NEC Nijmegen, respectively. Like Helmond Sport, Willem II have had repeated difficulty containing opponents.
There is an attacking statistic in the visitors' favour: Willem II have scored in each of their last 19 away matches. Their defensive record tells a contrasting story, with at least one goal conceded in each of their last 12 games. Those two streaks give this trip a clear question: can Willem II maintain their away scoring run while doing more to protect their own goal?
The timing of goals could matter, too. Willem II's last 10 KNVB Beker matches have each featured at least one first-half goal, and they have been behind at half-time in seven of those 10 cup games. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in each of their last 10 matches. These figures do not determine how this fixture will unfold, but they show why neither side can afford to treat a slow start—or a lead at the break—as the whole story.
The recent form of both teams makes defensive resilience the central issue. Helmond Sport have taken just one draw from their last five matches and have conceded throughout a 13-game stretch. Willem II have lost all five of their latest games and have conceded in 12 successive matches. At the same time, Helmond Sport have continued to score during their difficult run, while Willem II's long away scoring streak gives the visitors reason to believe they can create chances.
Previous meetings provide another point of reference without settling this contest. The most recent head-to-head ended 2-2 on December 21, 2025. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Helmond Sport have no wins, one draw and four defeats against Willem II, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. That record favours the visitors historically, but their current five-game losing run makes recent form just as relevant to this cup match.
The result may depend on which side can interrupt its pattern of conceding. Helmond Sport's latest 5-4 defeat and Willem II's 1-6 loss offer striking examples of the risks both face, while the longer scoring and conceding streaks show that those concerns extend beyond a single match. With neither team arriving on the back of a win, the Helmond Sport vs Willem II clash offers both a chance to change course—and plenty for each defence to address.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Helmond Sport
Willem II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
4
6
3
7
4.5
7
3
5
5