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Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 9:09 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 9:09 PM
On December 6, Heracles Almelo host SC Telstar at the Erve Asito in the fifteenth round of the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie. This fixture brings together two sides battling near the bottom of the table, with Heracles recently climbing out of last place thanks to an improved run of form. Both teams are desperate for points to move away from the relegation zone, and the encounter promises to be a tense and open affair.
Heracles Almelo’s recent performances have been a rollercoaster of extremes. The home side have displayed remarkable attacking prowess in some matches, such as the stunning 8-2 victory over PEC Zwolle and a 4-2 win against Go Ahead Eagles. However, they have also suffered heavy defeats, including a 7-0 loss to Feyenoord and a 3-0 defeat to FC Volendam. This inconsistency has been the defining feature of their season so far.
According to the latest statistics, Heracles have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses in the Eredivisie, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game. Their recent five-match run has been more encouraging, with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an impressive 3.8 goals per match while conceding 1.4. The 1-1 draw against Fortuna Sittard on November 29 extended their unbeaten streak to five games, showing signs of recovery after a difficult start.
Heracles’ matches have been consistently high-scoring. There have been Over 2.5 goals in 18 of their last 20 fixtures, and goals have been scored in both halves in nearly every game. The team has also conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 matches, underlining their defensive fragility. At home, they remain entertaining to watch, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in each of their last 16 Eredivisie home games. The attacking line, led by Jizz Hornkamp, will again be crucial in breaking down Telstar’s defense.
For SC Telstar, the season has been a difficult one. The visitors sit at the bottom of the Eredivisie table, having failed to win any of their last four league matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Feyenoord on November 30, following draws against FC Utrecht (1-1), FC Twente (0-0), and Excelsior (2-2). Despite showing resilience, Telstar have struggled to turn performances into victories.
Telstar’s overall record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Their last five matches have produced 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. While their attack has shown flashes of improvement, defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points. Away from home, Telstar’s matches often feature plenty of action, with Over 7.5 corners in 17 consecutive away fixtures and in 37 of their last 38 overall.
Telstar’s approach in this match is expected to be cautious, focusing on a compact defensive setup and quick counterattacks. Their ability to absorb pressure and exploit spaces on the break will be key if they are to take anything from the Erve Asito. However, facing a Heracles side that thrives in attack, the visitors will need to be at their best to avoid another setback.
This clash between Heracles Almelo and SC Telstar is shaping up to be a crucial battle in the fight for survival. Heracles have shown that when their attack clicks, they can overwhelm opponents with their creativity and finishing. Their home advantage at the Erve Asito could play a decisive role, especially given Telstar’s struggles on the road. The hosts’ attacking momentum, combined with Telstar’s defensive instability, suggests that this could be another high-scoring encounter.
Historically, Heracles have dominated this fixture, winning all four of their previous meetings with Telstar, including a 7-0 victory in February 2023. They have averaged 3.8 goals scored and just 0.3 conceded across those encounters. These numbers underline the gap between the two sides in recent years, though Telstar will be eager to change that narrative.
Heracles’ main challenge remains their defensive vulnerability. They have conceded in nearly every match this season, which could give Telstar hope of finding the net. However, if Heracles can maintain their attacking rhythm and capitalize on Telstar’s weaknesses, they are well-positioned to secure a vital home win. The match is likely to feature goals at both ends, with plenty of excitement for the fans in Almelo.
The most likely outcome is a Heracles Almelo win (1) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a SC Telstar win (2) stands at 34%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Heracles Almelo
Telstar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3