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Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 4:14 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 4:14 PM
The Scottish Premiership continues with an intriguing clash between Hibernian and Falkirk, two sides currently level on points and separated only by goal difference. Both teams have collected 21 points from 15 matches, with Hibs sitting fifth thanks to a superior goal difference of +6, while Falkirk follow closely in sixth with -2. This encounter at Easter Road promises to be a tight and tactical battle between two well-organised sides aiming to strengthen their position in the top half of the table.
Hibernian have experienced mixed fortunes in recent weeks. Their last four matches have produced two victories and two defeats, reflecting a team still searching for consistency. The run began with a convincing 3-0 win away at St. Mirren, followed by a solid 2-0 home victory over Dundee. However, the momentum was halted by a 2-0 defeat at Motherwell and a narrow 1-2 loss to Celtic at Easter Road on November 30. Despite these setbacks, the Hibees remain a dangerous side at home, capable of producing strong attacking performances when their front line clicks.
Over their last five matches, Hibs have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing a balanced but slightly vulnerable profile. Their overall season record stands at 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, a reflection of their competitive but inconsistent campaign so far. The team’s attacking play has been effective, but defensive lapses have occasionally cost them valuable points. With the home crowd behind them, Hibernian will look to rediscover the form that saw them dominate earlier in the season.
Falkirk arrive at Easter Road in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five Premiership matches. Their recent run began with a 3-1 home win over Kilmarnock, followed by a 1-1 draw with Livingston. They then produced an impressive 3-0 away victory at Dundee United before recording back-to-back 0-0 draws — first away to Rangers and then at home to Motherwell on December 3. This sequence highlights their growing defensive solidity, having conceded just two goals in their last five outings.
Statistically, Falkirk’s season mirrors that of their opponents: 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, but recent performances suggest a clear improvement at the back. The Bairns’ ability to frustrate stronger opponents, such as Rangers, underlines their tactical discipline and resilience. Their away form has also been encouraging, with only two of their last ten away fixtures featuring fewer than 0.5 goals, suggesting that they remain competitive on the road.
When these two sides met earlier in the season, the match ended in a 2-2 draw on September 23, a result that reflected the balance between them. Historically, Hibernian have had a slight edge in this fixture, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five head-to-head meetings. The average scoreline of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match by Hibs suggests that encounters between these teams tend to be competitive and moderately high-scoring.
From a tactical perspective, Hibernian will likely look to control possession and use their attacking width to stretch Falkirk’s compact defensive shape. The visitors, meanwhile, will rely on their recent defensive discipline and quick transitions to exploit any gaps left by the home side. Given Falkirk’s recent run of low-scoring games — including two consecutive goalless draws — and Hibernian’s occasional struggles to break down organised defenses, this could turn into a tight contest decided by fine margins.
Both teams have shown defensive improvement, but Hibs’ home advantage and slightly superior attacking record could prove decisive. However, Falkirk’s unbeaten streak and confidence make them a dangerous opponent capable of frustrating even the strongest sides in the division.
The most likely outcome is a Hibernian win (1) with a 45% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Falkirk win (2) stands at 30%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hibernian
Falkirk
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2