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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 4:04 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 4:04 PM
The upcoming Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Motherwell promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Both sides are enjoying strong campaigns, sitting comfortably in the top half of the table and separated by just two points. With European qualification ambitions on the line, this encounter at Easter Road could have a significant impact on the race for continental football. The hosts have been in excellent form recently, while the visitors continue to show consistency and defensive solidity, making this a fascinating contest between two well-balanced teams.
Hibernian enter this match in fine form, having collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five Premiership outings. Their recent 3-1 away victory over Kilmarnock on January 3, 2026, underlined their attacking sharpness and confidence. Over those five matches, the Hibees have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, showing a healthy balance between offense and defense.
Across the season, Hibs have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game while conceding 1.1. Their recent run includes a 1-1 draw away to Dundee United, a thrilling 3-2 victory over Hearts in the Edinburgh derby, and a 2-0 win against Aberdeen. This sequence of results has propelled them to fifth place in the table with 34 points and a +13 goal difference. The team’s ability to find the net consistently has been a key factor in their rise, and they will look to maintain that momentum against a defensively disciplined Motherwell side.
In head-to-head terms, Hibernian have won three of their last five meetings with Motherwell, including a 2-0 victory in November 2025. Their home advantage could once again prove decisive, especially given their recent scoring form and the confidence gained from consecutive wins.
Motherwell have also been enjoying a strong campaign, currently sitting fourth in the Premiership with 36 points and a +14 goal difference. Their season record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats highlights their consistency and resilience. The Steelmen’s defensive record is particularly impressive, conceding just 0.8 goals per game on average, one of the best in the league.
In their last five matches, Motherwell have registered three wins, one draw, and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match while conceding only 0.2. Their most recent result was a convincing 2-0 home win over St. Mirren on January 3, 2026, following another 2-0 victory against Celtic. This run of results demonstrates their ability to perform against both mid-table and top-tier opponents.
One of Motherwell’s most notable strengths this season has been their stability in the first half of matches. They have avoided defeat at half-time in 19 of their last 20 Premiership games and in 21 of their last 23 overall. This consistency often allows them to control the tempo early on and frustrate opponents. However, their away form has shown a tendency toward low-scoring encounters, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in several of their recent away fixtures. This defensive approach could make the upcoming clash a tight and tactical affair.
With both teams in excellent form and separated by just two points, this match is expected to be closely contested. Hibernian’s attacking momentum, combined with Motherwell’s defensive discipline, sets the stage for a balanced and strategic battle. The Hibees’ recent scoring record suggests they will look to take the initiative, while Motherwell’s compact structure and ability to stay organized could make them difficult to break down.
Historically, encounters between these two sides have been competitive, with Hibernian slightly edging the recent head-to-head record. The hosts’ home advantage and current confidence may give them a slight upper hand, but Motherwell’s resilience means that even a narrow lead could be decisive. Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring match is possible, with one goal potentially enough to determine the outcome.
BetMines Prediction: Based on the latest data and probabilities, the most likely outcome for this Scottish Premiership fixture is a Hibernian win (1) with a 49% probability. A draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Motherwell win (2) stands at 26%. The balance of probabilities and recent form both point toward a narrow home victory for the Hibees.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hibernian
Motherwell
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3