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Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 4:03 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 4:03 PM
The Scottish Premiership continues with an intriguing Round 26 clash between Hibernian and St. Mirren. Both sides are eager to bounce back after recent defeats, and with the season entering a decisive phase, every point could prove crucial. Hibernian aim to consolidate their position in the championship round, while St. Mirren look to extend their solid run of form and climb away from the lower half of the table. The encounter promises intensity, goals, and plenty of drama as two teams with contrasting ambitions face off once again.
Hibernian come into this fixture after a narrow 1-0 defeat against Hearts on February 10, a result that exposed some defensive vulnerabilities. Despite sitting 5th in the Premiership standings, their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, a ratio that highlights their current struggles in front of goal and at the back.
Over the course of the season, Hibernian’s record stands at 10 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their home performances have generally been stronger, and they will be eager to replicate the dominant 3-0 victory they achieved over St. Mirren in their last meeting. That result showcased their attacking potential when given space to operate, and the fans will expect a similar display this time around.
However, consistency remains the key issue. The Hibees have shown flashes of quality, particularly in draws against higher-ranked sides like Motherwell and Rangers, but they have struggled to maintain momentum. A win here would not only restore confidence but also strengthen their grip on a top-six finish.
St. Mirren suffered a thrilling 4-3 defeat to Kilmarnock on February 11, ending a five-match unbeaten streak. Despite that setback, their recent performances have been encouraging, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five outings. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game during that period, suggesting a balanced but somewhat fragile side.
In the Premiership this season, St. Mirren’s record stands at 5 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.4, figures that underline their defensive issues. Away from home, those problems have been even more pronounced: the Saints have conceded at least one goal in their last 17 away matches, and over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 15 away fixtures. This trend suggests that their matches tend to be open and entertaining, even if results have not always gone their way.
Despite their defensive frailties, St. Mirren have shown resilience and attacking intent. Their ability to find the net in recent games, including the seven-goal thriller against Kilmarnock, indicates that they can trouble Hibernian’s backline if given opportunities. However, tightening up defensively will be crucial if they are to avoid another defeat on the road.
The recent history between these two sides has been relatively balanced. In their last five meetings, Hibernian have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 1.0. Their most recent encounter ended in a convincing 3-0 victory for Hibernian on November 8, 2025, but earlier in the season, the teams shared a 1-1 draw. These results suggest that while Hibernian have the upper hand at home, St. Mirren are capable of making life difficult for them.
From a tactical perspective, Hibernian will likely look to control possession and exploit spaces behind St. Mirren’s defense, which has been leaky away from home. The Saints, on the other hand, may rely on counterattacks and set pieces to create chances. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, another match with multiple goals seems likely.
All signs point to an open contest where both sides will have opportunities. Hibernian’s home advantage and superior attacking record could prove decisive, but St. Mirren’s fighting spirit ensures this will not be a straightforward task.
Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture is expected to deliver goals and excitement. Hibernian’s attacking efficiency at home contrasts with St. Mirren’s defensive struggles on the road, making the hosts slight favorites. However, the Saints’ ability to score consistently means they cannot be underestimated.
Hibernian vs St. Mirren prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hibernian
St. Mirren
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0