The DFB-Pokal quarterfinals bring a fascinating North-South clash as Holstein Kiel host VfB Stuttgart on Wednesday, February 4. The home side, currently competing in the second division, have already made headlines by reaching this stage, while the visitors arrive as one of the Bundesliga’s top teams and the reigning cup holders. With both sides eager to progress, this encounter promises intensity, determination, and plenty of attacking football.

Holstein Kiel’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Holstein Kiel have enjoyed a strong run in the DFB-Pokal this season, remaining unbeaten in regulation time with a record of two wins and one draw. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded per match in the competition, showing remarkable defensive discipline. Their home form has been particularly reliable — Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 home fixtures, underlining their ability to control the tempo and keep games tight.

In their last five matches across all competitions, Kiel have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.6. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 1-2 loss against Greuther Fürth on January 31, a result that may serve as a wake-up call ahead of this crucial cup tie. Still, the Storks have proven resilient at home, losing only once since late August. Their journey to the quarterfinals included victories over Wolfsburg and Hamburg, both achieved with impressive defensive solidity and composure in penalty shootouts.

• Holstein Kiel’s DFB-Pokal record: W 2 · D 1 · L 0


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 0.0


• Under 3.5 goals in last 11 home matches


• Unbeaten in regulation time in this season’s cup

Despite their underdog status, Kiel’s home advantage and fighting spirit could make them a tricky opponent for any top-flight side. Their fans will hope that the team’s defensive organization and quick transitions can once again deliver a memorable night in the cup.

VfB Stuttgart’s Recent Form and Key Stats

VfB Stuttgart enter this quarterfinal in excellent form, having gone seven matches unbeaten in all competitions. Their last outing was a 1-0 victory over SC Freiburg on February 1, extending a run of five wins in their last seven games. In the DFB-Pokal, Stuttgart have been clinical, winning both of their last two ties by 2-0 scorelines against Bochum and Mainz. Their season stats in the competition are impressive: 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

The Swabians’ attacking consistency stands out — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 17 DFB-Pokal matches and in their last 12 away games in the tournament. Moreover, Over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in each of their last 19 away fixtures, reflecting their tendency to start games strongly. Stuttgart have also won at half time in 8 of their last 10 DFB-Pokal matches, a sign of their early dominance and attacking intent.

• VfB Stuttgart’s DFB-Pokal record: W 2 · D 1 · L 0


• Average goals scored: 2.3 | Average conceded: 1.0


• At least 1 goal scored in last 17 DFB-Pokal matches


• Over 1.5 goals in last 10 away matches


• Won at half time in 8 of last 10 DFB-Pokal games

With their attacking duo in fine form and confidence high, Stuttgart will look to impose their rhythm early. Their experience as defending champions and their ability to perform under pressure make them clear favorites, but they will be wary of Kiel’s resilience and home record.

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart Analysis and Prediction

Historically, this fixture has produced balanced and entertaining encounters. The last head-to-head meeting ended 2-2 on March 8, 2025, and across their five most recent duels, both teams have scored in five of six matches. This trend suggests that goals at both ends are likely once again, especially given Stuttgart’s attacking form and Kiel’s home confidence.

Statistically, Stuttgart hold the upper hand with a 54% win probability, compared to 25% for Kiel and 21% for a draw. However, Kiel’s defensive organization and home advantage could keep the contest competitive. The visitors’ attacking momentum, combined with the hosts’ ability to find the net at home, points toward an open and entertaining match.

Given the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this DFB-Pokal quarterfinal leans towards Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 58% probability. This outcome aligns with the attacking patterns of both sides and their recent head-to-head history.

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart prediction by BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.