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Houston Dynamo
12:30 AM
October 18, 2026
Dallas
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 12:32 AM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 12:32 AM
Houston Dynamo host Dallas at Shell Energy Stadium on October 18 in a Major League Soccer meeting shaped by contrasting recent results and a history of goals between the teams. Houston drew 3-3 with San Diego on October 15 and are still looking for a win after five matches without one. Dallas, meanwhile, beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 on the same date and have won three of their last five. The visitors are third in the supplied league ranking, with Houston fifth, but recent meetings suggest this fixture can remain competitive regardless of form. Their last encounter finished 4-3, while four of the previous five meetings produced more than 2.5 goals.
Houston Dynamo came close to taking all three points against San Diego but had to settle for a 3-3 draw. That result reflected both their attacking potential and the defensive difficulties evident across their recent run. In their last five matches, Houston have recorded three draws and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 2.0.
Their Major League Soccer season record stands at 13 wins, six draws and nine defeats, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Those season-long figures are more restrained than their latest result, but Houston's recent matches have offered plenty of attacking action: three of their last four ended as draws featuring more than 2.5 goals. The 3-3 against San Diego was the latest example of a game in which finding the net was not enough to secure a victory.
Playing at home gives Houston an opportunity to end that five-match winless spell. The challenge is to turn goals into points against a Dallas side arriving after a victory. Although two of Houston's last ten league matches finished without a goal from either team, their more immediate form points to a different concern: they have conceded twice per game on average over the past five fixtures.
Dallas arrive following a 1-0 win over Seattle Sounders, a result that underlined their ability to collect points in a tight game. Their last five matches have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat. Over that stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, giving them a steadier recent defensive record than their hosts.
Across the Major League Soccer season, Dallas have 13 wins, eight draws and seven defeats. Their season averages of 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match suggest that the narrow win over Seattle does not tell the whole story of their campaign. Their away fixtures have also followed a notably high-scoring pattern: each of their last seven on the road produced more than 2.5 goals.
There are other signs of activity in Dallas matches. More than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 21 away league games and in 19 of their last 20 league fixtures overall. Both teams scored in the second half in 11 of Dallas's last 18 Major League Soccer matches. Those figures do not guarantee a repeat here, but they add context to an away record that has regularly featured open games.
This matchup brings together Houston's recent run of high-scoring draws and Dallas's sequence of away games with at least three total goals. The teams' latest head-to-head finished 4-3 on March 22, and four of their previous five meetings went beyond 2.5 goals. Across the five-match head-to-head summary, Houston have two wins and Dallas have three, with Houston averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
There is a clear contrast in their most recent outings: Houston's 3-3 draw was full of goals, while Dallas won 1-0. Dallas have also conceded only 0.8 goals per match across their last five, so another high-scoring contest is not assured. Even so, the repeated over-2.5 results in Dallas's away matches, Houston's recent draws and the scoring pattern in this fixture provide a consistent basis for expecting chances at both ends. Houston need to improve on a five-game winless run; Dallas will look to build on their victory over Seattle.
Houston Dynamo vs Dallas prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Houston Dynamo
Dallas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
5
5