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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2025 7:08 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 23, 2025 7:34 AM
The clash between SD Huesca and UD Las Palmas for Matchday 11 of La Liga 2 promises to be a key encounter for both sides with very different objectives. The hosts are looking to stabilize their inconsistent form, while the visitors aim to maintain their promotion push. The match will take place at Estadio El Alcoraz on Friday, October 24, and could have a significant impact on the upper part of the table, especially for Las Palmas, who are just one point behind the league leaders Racing de Santander.
Huesca approach this fixture in a period of mixed results. Their recent 1-0 defeat to Cádiz on October 12 highlighted their attacking struggles, as they have averaged only 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this season. With a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, the Aragonese side currently sit 14th in the La Liga 2 standings. In their last five matches, they have managed two victories but suffered three defeats, collecting just three of the last twelve points available.
At home, however, Huesca have been relatively more competitive. Over 0.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 20 home matches, showing that their games rarely end goalless. Despite this, their offensive inefficiency remains a concern, as they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored in their last five outings. The team’s defensive line has also shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game over the same period. Coach and players alike will need to rediscover their early-season form if they are to challenge one of the league’s most in-form teams.
Las Palmas arrive at El Alcoraz in excellent shape, having defeated SD Eibar 3-1 on October 19. The Canary Islanders have been one of the most consistent sides in the division, sitting 2nd in the table with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats. Their recent form is impressive: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches, collecting 10 points from the last 15 available. They have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match this season, underlining their balance between attack and defense.
Las Palmas’ matches tend to be tight, especially in the first half. In fact, Under 1.5 goals have been recorded before halftime in each of their last 14 matches, and in 11 consecutive away games. Moreover, at least one team failed to score before halftime in 31 of their last 33 fixtures. This pattern suggests that the visitors often take a cautious approach early on, preferring to build momentum as the game progresses. Their defensive discipline has been a cornerstone of their success, and their current momentum makes them one of the favorites for promotion.
This encounter pits two sides with contrasting trajectories. Huesca are struggling to find consistency, while Las Palmas are thriving under a well-structured system that emphasizes compact defending and efficient finishing. The home side will likely rely on their defensive organization and the support of their fans to contain the visitors’ attacking rhythm. However, their limited scoring output could be a major obstacle against a Las Palmas team that has conceded very few goals this season.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these teams is balanced: 2 wins each and 1 draw in their last five meetings, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and conceded per side. The most recent encounter, played in January 2023, ended 1-0. This trend of low-scoring games could continue, especially given both teams’ current defensive tendencies. Still, Las Palmas’ superior form and confidence make them the more likely side to dictate the tempo and create the clearer chances.
For Huesca, the key will be to stay compact and capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks. For Las Palmas, maintaining their defensive solidity while exploiting the spaces left by the hosts could be decisive. Given their recent performances and the difference in momentum, the visitors appear better equipped to secure a positive result.
The most likely outcome is a Huesca win (1) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 28%, while a Las Palmas win (2) stands at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Huesca
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1